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Dear all
A brief summary of points arising from the latest report on
oil-for-food (OFF) by the Secretary-General.
Cheers
Milan Rai
via Dave Rolstone's connection
1) Continuing decline and the threat of
collapse a) Electricity b) Water purification
2) Holds
3) The humanitarian situation - unreported
4) Expanding the green lists 5) Time lag 1) Continuing decline and the threat of collapse
While oil revenues have been improving and OFF has been
funding more infrastructure repair, I voiced at the last National Coordinating
Meeting the fear that there was still the lingering possibility of catastrophic
collapse in key sectors, leading to a radical deepening of the humanitarian
crisis. This possibility is directly
mentioned by the Secretary-General in the 8 Sept report.
a) Electricity
A fire in Mussaiyab Power Station in August resulted in the
loss of 600 MW, doubling power cuts in Baghdad to 8 hours a day and increasing
cuts in other affected governorates to 20 hours a day. Kofi Annan writes, 'The
entire electricity grid is in a precarious state and is in
imminent danger of collapsing altogether should another incident of this type
occur.' (para 36)
Recall that in February 1998, the Secretary-General said that
the collapse of the power generation sector could create 'humanitarian
consequences [which] could potentially dwarf all othe difficulties endured by
the Iraqi people.'
b) Water purification
At a lesser level of threat, the water and sanitation sector
continues to deteriorate. Given that contamination of drinking water is a key
factor if not the dominant factor in the current levels of child malnutrition,
disease and death, this is of grave concern. Kofi Annan writes, ''In the absence
of key complementary items currently on hod and adequate maintenance, spare
parts and staffing, the decay rate of the entire system is
accelerating.'
The rate of deterioration is actually increasing, despite the
increased levels of funding potentially available in this vital
sector.
2) Holds
This report continues the trend seen over recent reports in
focussing on Sanctions Committee holds. In the electricity sector, for example,
the Secretary-General notes that the 25 per cent of contracts currently on hold
in this area 'represent the most critical components and spare parts, making
much of the equipment already delivered under the programme
inoperable.'
There have been recent special missions to Iraq for the
water/sanitation, food handling and electricity sectors to gain the information
and reassurances which Sanctions Committee members say they need before they can
release holds in these areas. [If anyone could get hold of the reports of these
missions, that would be of great value.]
The Secretary-General notes that the level of holds on
telecommunications equipment 'is having a negative multiplier effect on the
implementation of the humanitarian programme.' (para 38)
3) The humanitarian situation - unreported
Curiously, the trend towards omitting data on the humanitarian
situation is also continuing. Reports on the level of child malnutrition were
first reworded - chronic malnutrition became 'mild' malnutrition - and now are
absent entirely. Drinking water contamination/purification is also not
quantified. There is a dearth of statistics, statistics which I believe to be
still being generated by UN agencies operating in Iraq and compiled by the
Geographical Observation Unit and the Multi-disciplinary Observation Unit.
[Again, if someone can get hold of these reports, it would be tremendously
useful.]
In fact, the Secretary-General says that 'comprehensive
evaluations of current and planned activities in all sectors by United Nations
agencies and programmes have already been completed or are being initiated.'
These evaluations should be in the public domain!
4) Expanding the green lists
The report recommends that the green list system should be
expanded and extended to 'all remaining sectors in the distribution plan' (which
now includes housing). (para 47)
5) Time lag
The British Government concentrates on the massive increase in
oil revenues Iraq can expect over this coming year. Kofi Annan cautions that 'it
is important to recall that the full impact of such improved funding will take
time to be felt, as it is dependent on timely approval and delivery of goods and
their subsequent distribution.' Note that phrase 'timely
_approval_'.
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