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[casi] Who is Robert Cooper?

Dear all,

This mail to put your attention on who is Robert Cooper and what is
happening in European security and defence matters. I would like to give the
following advice to Robert Cooper: " Civilise or die. We can no longer
afford to ignore US/UK warmongers or aggressive states like the US, UK and
Israel. Regime change is necessary".

Since the 'split' inside the EU on how to deal with Iraq, European leaders
decided in may this year that Europe needs a security strategy, similar to
the National security Strategy as presented by pres. Bush in September last

In June, at the Thessaloniki EU meeting, Solana presented a first draft.
Although the paper is signed by Solana, the real author is Robert Cooper,
former adviser of Tony Blair and currently second man (director of external
relations) behind Solana. To give you a idea about the opinions and
worldviews of Robert Cooper I attach below an essay of him, which was
published last year. In brief: he's promoting a kind of European Imperium
based on democracy and Human rights. There are certainly quit a lot of
similarities with the thinking of PNAC. What is worrying, is that the first
draft - which should be finished end this year is - shows his influence.

I'm very glad Ghazwan is very active again on the list. How are you,
Ghazwan? I hope all goes well. Give my warmest greetings to your wonderful
family. I miss you all.

Dirk Adriaensens

Observer Worldview Extra

Senior British diplomat Robert Cooper has helped to shape British Prime
Minister Tony Blair's calls for a new internationalism and a new doctrine of
humanitarian intervention which would place limits on state sovereignty.
This article contains the full text of Cooper's essay on "the postmodern
state", written in a personal capacity, an extract from which appears in the
print edition of The Observer today. Cooper's call for a new liberal
imperialism and admission of the need for double standards in foreign policy
have outraged the left but the essay offers a rare and candid unofficial
insight into the thinking behind British strategy on Afghanistan, Iraq and
beyond. You can join the online debate here.

Observer Worldview

Sunday April 7, 2002

In 1989 the political systems of three centuries came to an end in Europe:
the balance-of-power and the imperial urge. That year marked not just the
end of the Cold War, but also, and more significantly, the end of a state
system in Europe which dated from the Thirty Years War. September 11 showed
us one of the implications of the change.

To understand the present, we must first understand the past, for the past
is still with us. International order used to be based either on hegemony or
on balance. Hegemony came first. In the ancient world, order meant empire.
Those within the empire had order, culture and civilisation. Outside it lay
barbarians, chaos and disorder. The image of peace and order through a
single hegemonic power centre has remained strong ever since. Empires,
however, are ill-designed for promoting change. Holding the empire
together - and it is the essence of empires that they are diverse - usually
requires an authoritarian political style; innovation, especially in society
and politics, would lead to instability. Historically, empires have
generally been static.

In Europe, a middle way was found between the stasis of chaos and the stasis
of empire, namely the small state. The small state succeeded in establishing
sovereignty, but only within a geographically limited jurisdiction. Thus
domestic order was purchased at the price of international anarchy. The
competition between the small states of Europe was a source of progress, but
the system was also constantly threatened by a relapse into chaos on one
side and by the hegemony of a single power on the other. The solution to
this was the balance-of-power, a system of counter-balancing alliances which
became seen as the condition of liberty in Europe. Coalitions were
successfully put together to thwart the hegemonic ambitions firstly of
Spain, then of France, and finally of Germany.

But the balance-of-power system too had an inherent instability, the
ever-present risk of war, and it was this that eventually caused it to
collapse. German unification in 1871 created a state too powerful to be
balanced by any European alliance; technological changes raised the costs of
war to an unbearable level; and the development of mass society and
democratic politics, rendered impossible the amoral calculating mindset
necessary to make the balance of power system function. Nevertheless, in the
absence of any obvious alternative it persisted, and what emerged in 1945
was not so much a new system as the culmination of the old one. The old
multi-lateral balance-of-power in Europe became a bilateral balance of
terror worldwide, a final simplification of the balance of power. But it was
not built to last. The balance of power never suited the more
universalistic, moralist spirit of the late twentieth century.

The second half of the twentieth Century has seen not just the end of the
balance of power but also the waning of the imperial urge: in some degree
the two go together. A world that started the century divided among European
empires finishes it with all or almost all of them gone: the Ottoman,
German, Austrian, French , British and finally Soviet Empires are now no
more than a memory. This leaves us with two new types of state: first there
are now states - often former colonies - where in some sense the state has
almost ceased to exist a 'premodern' zone where the state has failed and a
Hobbesian war of all against all is underway (countries such as Somalia and,
until recently, Afghanistan). Second, there are the post imperial,
postmodern states who no longer think of security primarily in terms of
conquest. And thirdly, of course there remain the traditional "modern"
states who behave as states always have, following Machiavellian principles
and raison d'čtat (one thinks of countries such as India, Pakistan and

The postmodern system in which we Europeans live does not rely on balance;
nor does it emphasise sovereignty or the separation of domestic and foreign
affairs. The European Union has become a highly developed system for mutual
interference in each other's domestic affairs, right down to beer and
sausages. The CFE Treaty, under which parties to the treaty have to notify
the location of their heavy weapons and allow inspections, subjects areas
close to the core of sovereignty to international constraints. It is
important to realise what an extraordinary revolution this is. It mirrors
the paradox of the nuclear age, that in order to defend yourself, you had to
be prepared to destroy yourself. The shared interest of European countries
in avoiding a nuclear catastrophe has proved enough to overcome the normal
strategic logic of distrust and concealment. Mutual vulnerability has become
mutual transparency.

The main characteristics of the postmodern world are as follows:

· The breaking down of the distinction between domestic and foreign affairs.

· Mutual interference in (traditional) domestic affairs and mutual

· The rejection of force for resolving disputes and the consequent
codification of self-enforced rules of behaviour.

· The growing irrelevance of borders: this has come about both through the
changing role of the state, but also through missiles, motor cars and

· Security is based on transparency, mutual openness, interdependence and
mutual vulnerability.

The conception of an International Criminal Court is a striking example of
the postmodern breakdown of the distinction between domestic and foreign
affairs. In the postmodern world, raison d'čtat and the amorality of
Machiavelli's theories of statecraft, which defined international relations
in the modern era, have been replaced by a moral consciousness that applies
to international relations as well as to domestic affairs: hence the renewed
interest in what constitutes a just war.

While such a system does deal with the problems that made the
balance-of-power unworkable, it does not entail the demise of the nation
state. While economy, law-making and defence may be increasingly embedded in
international frameworks, and the borders of territory may be less
important, identity and democratic institutions remain primarily national.
Thus traditional states will remain the fundamental unit of international
relations for the foreseeable future, even though some of them may have
ceased to behave in traditional ways.

What is the origin of this basic change in the state system? The fundamental
point is that "the world's grown honest". A large number of the most
powerful states no longer want to fight or conquer. It is this that gives
rise to both the pre-modern and postmodern worlds. Imperialism in the
traditional sense is dead, at least among the Western powers.

If this is true, it follows that we should not think of the EU or even NATO
as the root cause of the half century of peace we have enjoyed in Western
Europe. The basic fact is that Western European countries no longer want to
fight each other. NATO and the EU have, nevertheless, played an important
role in reinforcing and sustaining this position. NATO's most valuable
contribution has been the openness it has created. NATO was, and is a
massive intra-western confidence-building measure. It was NATO and the EU
that provided the framework within which Germany could be reunited without
posing a threat to the rest of Europe as its original unification had in
1871. Both give rise to thousands of meetings of ministers and officials, so
that all those concerned with decisions involving war and peace know each
other well. Compared with the past, this represents a quality and stability
of political relations never known before.

The EU is the most developed example of a postmodern system. It represents
security through transparency, and transparency through interdependence. The
EU is more a transnational than a supra-national system, a voluntary
association of states rather than the subordination of states to a central
power. The dream of a European state is one left from a previous age. It
rests on the assumption that nation states are fundamentally dangerous and
that the only way to tame the anarchy of nations is to impose hegemony on
them. But if the nation-state is a problem then the super-state is certainly
not a solution.

European states are not the only members of the postmodern world. Outside
Europe, Canada is certainly a postmodern state; Japan is by inclination a
postmodern state, but its location prevents it developing more fully in this
direction. The USA is the more doubtful case since it is not clear that the
US government or Congress accepts either the necessity or desirability of
interdependence, or its corollaries of openness, mutual surveillance and
mutual interference, to the same extent as most European governments now do.
Elsewhere, what in Europe has become a reality is in many other parts of the
world an aspiration. ASEAN, NAFTA, MERCOSUR and even OAU suggest at least
the desire for a postmodern environment, and though this wish is unlikely to
be realised quickly, imitation is undoubtedly easier than invention.

Within the postmodern world, there are no security threats in the
traditional sense; that is to say, its members do not consider invading each
other. Whereas in the modern world , following Clausewitz' dictum war is an
instrument of policy in the postmodern world it is a sign of policy failure.
But while the members of the postmodern world may not represent a danger to
one another, both the modern and pre-modern zones pose threats.

The threat from the modern world is the most familiar. Here, the classical
state system, from which the postmodern world has only recently emerged,
remains intact, and continues to operate by the principles of empire and the
supremacy of national interest. If there is to be stability it will come
from a balance among the aggressive forces. It is notable how few are the
areas of the world where such a balance exists. And how sharp the risk is
that in some areas there may soon be a nuclear element in the equation.

The challenge to the postmodern world is to get used to the idea of double
standards. Among ourselves, we operate on the basis of laws and open
cooperative security. But when dealing with more old-fashioned kinds of
states outside the postmodern continent of Europe, we need to revert to the
rougher methods of an earlier era - force, pre-emptive attack, deception,
whatever is necessary to deal with those who still live in the nineteenth
century world of every state for itself. Among ourselves, we keep the law
but when we are operating in the jungle, we must also use the laws of the
jungle. In the prolonged period of peace in Europe, there has been a
temptation to neglect our defences, both physical and psychological. This
represents one of the great dangers of the postmodern state.

The challenge posed by the pre-modern world is a new one. The pre-modern
world is a world of failed states. Here the state no longer fulfils Weber's
criterion of having the monopoly on the legitimate use of force. Either it
has lost the legitimacy or it has lost the monopoly of the use of force;
often the two go together. Examples of total collapse are relatively rare,
but the number of countries at risk grows all the time. Some areas of the
former Soviet Union are candidates, including Chechnya. All of the world's
major drug-producing areas are part of the pre-modern world. Until recently
there was no real sovereign authority in Afghanistan; nor is there in
upcountry Burma or in some parts of South America, where drug barons
threaten the state's monopoly on force. All over Africa countries are at
risk. No area of the world is without its dangerous cases. In such areas
chaos is the norm and war is a way of life. In so far as there is a
government it operates in a way similar to an organised crime syndicate.

The premodern state may be too weak even to secure its home territory, let
alone pose a threat internationally, but it can provide a base for non-state
actors who may represent a danger to the postmodern world. If non-state
actors, notably drug, crime, or terrorist syndicates take to using premodern
bases for attacks on the more orderly parts of the world, then the organised
states may eventually have to respond. If they become too dangerous for
established states to tolerate, it is possible to imagine a defensive
imperialism. It is not going too far to view the West's response to
Afghanistan in this light.

How should we deal with the pre-modern chaos? To become involved in a zone
of chaos is risky; if the intervention is prolonged it may become
unsustainable in public opinion; if the intervention is unsuccessful it may
be damaging to the government that ordered it. But the risks of letting
countries rot, as the West did Afghanistan, may be even greater.

What form should intervention take? The most logical way to deal with chaos,
and the one most employed in the past is colonisation. But colonisation is
unacceptable to postmodern states (and, as it happens, to some modern states
too). It is precisely because of the death of imperialism that we are seeing
the emergence of the pre-modern world. Empire and imperialism are words that
have become a form of abuse in the postmodern world. Today, there are no
colonial powers willing to take on the job, though the opportunities,
perhaps even the need for colonisation is as great as it ever was in the
nineteenth century. Those left out of the global economy risk falling into a
vicious circle. Weak government means disorder and that means falling
investment. In the 1950s, South Korea had a lower GNP per head than Zambia:
the one has achieved membership of the global economy, the other has not.

All the conditions for imperialism are there, but both the supply and demand
for imperialism have dried up. And yet the weak still need the strong and
the strong still need an orderly world. A world in which the efficient and
well governed export stability and liberty, and which is open for investment
and growth - all of this seems eminently desirable.

What is needed then is a new kind of imperialism, one acceptable to a world
of human rights and cosmopolitan values. We can already discern its outline:
an imperialism which, like all imperialism, aims to bring order and
organisation but which rests today on the voluntary principle.

Postmodern imperialism takes two forms. First there is the voluntary
imperialism of the global economy. This is usually operated by an
international consortium through International Financial Institutions such
as the IMF and the World Bank - it is characteristic of the new imperialism
that it is multilateral. These institutions provide help to states wishing
to find their way back into the global economy and into the virtuous circle
of investment and prosperity. In return they make demands which, they hope,
address the political and economic failures that have contributed to the
original need for assistance. Aid theology today increasingly emphasises
governance. If states wish to benefit, they must open themselves up to the
interference of international organisations and foreign states (just as, for
different reasons, the postmodern world has also opened itself up.)

The second form of postmodern imperialism might be called the imperialism of
neighbours. Instability in your neighbourhood poses threats which no state
can ignore. Misgovernment, ethnic violence and crime in the Balkans poses a
threat to Europe. The response has been to create something like a voluntary
UN protectorate in Bosnia and Kosovo. It is no surprise that in both cases
the High Representative is European. Europe provides most of the aid that
keeps Bosnia and Kosovo running and most of the soldiers (though the US
presence is an indispensable stabilising factor). In a further unprecedented
move, the EU has offered unilateral free-market access to all the countries
of the former Yugoslavia for all products including most agricultural
produce. It is not just soldiers that come from the international community;
it is police, judges, prison officers, central bankers and others. Elections
are organised and monitored by the Organisation for Security and Cooperation
in Europe (OSCE). Local police are financed and trained by the UN. As
auxiliaries to this effort - in many areas indispensable to it - are over a
hundred NGOs.

One additional point needs to be made. It is dangerous if a neighbouring
state is taken over in some way by organised or disorganised crime - which
is what state collapse usually amounts to. But Usama bin Laden has now
demonstrated for those who had not already realised, that today all the
world is, potentially at least, our neighbour.

The Balkans are a special case. Elsewhere in Central and Eastern Europe the
EU is engaged in a programme which will eventually lead to massive
enlargement. In the past empires have imposed their laws and systems of
government; in this case no one is imposing anything. Instead, a voluntary
movement of self-imposition is taking place. While you are a candidate for
EU membership you have to accept what is given - a whole mass of laws and
regulations - as subject countries once did. But the prize is that once you
are inside you will have a voice in the commonwealth. If this process is a
kind of voluntary imperialism, the end state might be describes as a
cooperative empire. 'Commonwealth' might indeed not be a bad name.

The postmodern EU offers a vision of cooperative empire, a common liberty
and a common security without the ethnic domination and centralised
absolutism to which past empires have been subject, but also without the
ethnic exclusiveness that is the hallmark of the nation state -
inappropriate in an era without borders and unworkable in regions such as
the Balkans. A cooperative empire might be the domestic political framework
that best matches the altered substance of the postmodern state: a framework
in which each has a share in the government, in which no single country
dominates and in which the governing principles are not ethnic but legal.
The lightest of touches will be required from the centre; the 'imperial
bureaucracy' must be under control, accountable, and the servant, not the
master, of the commonwealth. Such an institution must be as dedicated to
liberty and democracy as its constituent parts. Like Rome, this commonwealth
would provide its citizens with some of its laws, some coins and the
occasional road.

That perhaps is the vision. Can it be realised? Only time will tell. The
question is how much time there may be. In the modern world the secret race
to acquire nuclear weapons goes on. In the premodern world the interests of
organised crime - including international terrorism - grow greater and
faster than the state. There may not be much time left.

· Robert Cooper is a senior serving British diplomat, and writes in a
personal capacity. This article is published as The post-modern state in the
new collection Reordering the World: the long term implications of September
11, published by The Foreign Policy Centre.

----- Original Message -----
From: "Muhamed Ali" <>
To: "Ghazwan Al-Mukhtar" <>; "casi"
Sent: Thursday, October 23, 2003 4:53 PM
Subject: RE: [casi] The New Alibabas

> Dear colleagues,
>                 Below is the URL for a comment in today's Guardian.
> Comment
> --------------------------------------------------------------------------
> Civilise or die
> We can no longer afford to ignore weak or aggressive states. Regime change
is necessary

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