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[casi] study on effects of ``limited war''?

Dear Dirk,
you wrote
``One very high-ranking official of a UN-related organisation, whose name
I won't reveal (because he asked), told us off the record that there has
been a study about the effects of a limited American invasion, only to
topple SH and to turnover Iraqi leadership. The results of this study are
quite astonishing: there would be hundreds of thousands of deaths among
the civilian population, mainly because of the collapse of the rationing
system and the vulnerable Iraqi economy.''

Are you able to give any details about this study? Can we obtain it
without compromising your source? Most list members know
enough about the parlous and precarious state of Iraq's civilian
and economic infrastructure not to need a study to confirm this,
but it would be very useful in countering
pro-war propaganda when war on Iraq is back on the media agenda.
It's always useful to be able to quote a credible study.



+  Fay Dowker                       Physics Department               +
+                                   Queen Mary, University of London +
+  E-mail:       Mile End Road,                   +
+  Phone:  +44-(0)20-7882-5047      London E1 4NS.                   +
+  Fax:    +44-(0)20-8981-9465                                       +
+  Homepage:          +

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