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News, 16-23/2/02 Perhaps the only piece of hard news in the following mass of wearisome nonsense is the crackdown on efforts of Iraqi refugees to help their families at home. This follows on the similar move against Somalia a couple of months ago, but this time there isn¹t the slightest pretence that the money was being used to promote Œterrorism¹. Its unthinkable that the authorities didn¹t know that this was going on for a long time and had decided to ignore it. Why did they suddenly swoop now? Its so petty minded you could almost take it as evidence that they¹ve decided they don¹t dare attack Iraq (unforeseeable political consequences) and this is a way of venting their frustration. The relevant articles are under ŒIraqis outside Iraq¹. Most were sent to the list, I think by Drew Hamre, but I thought it useful to keep them on record here. Oherwise there¹s lots to read and nothing much worth reading: ŒBombing Iraq¹, in the British section; ŒIraq roadtrip¹ and ŒWar tensions tough on Christians¹ in the ŒInside Iraq section, together with President Hussein¹s reflections on the benefits of nuclear power. Most abject article of the week: David Owen¹s ŒWe must stand by Bush¹ in the British section. INCITEMENT TO HATRED * Cakewalk In Iraq [This article really belongs to last week¹s mailing. It argues that it will be easy to demolish Iraq because its pathetically weak and has no military capacity; and that it is necessary to do so because it is terribly dangerous and armed to the teeth. Only a short extract is given so that the reader may savour the contempt with which the USA regards its allies. ŒRinky-dink nations¹ is the memorable term employed.] * Cheney Rattles Saber Against Iraq * Facing the Music On Iraq [Jim Hoagland sounding like the cat that got the cream. He must be feeling the way Hitler felt when suddenly he realised that his wildest ideas were no longer encountering any opposition. Suddenly, everyone agreed with him. Extracts.] * Gung-ho and alone in Iraq [This article was sent to the list and I don¹t know where it comes from. But its worth including because it refers to the fact that UN Security Council Resolution 687 calls for "the establishment of a nuclear weapons-free zone in the Middle East region", which, of course, includes Israel. Which is something that requires to be said every time Iraq is accused of violating UN Security Council resolutions.] * The purging of Baghdad [Short extract from a rather long article. On the virtues of Œmoral clarity¹. Hitler would have appreciated this ...] * Parsing The Axis Of Evil [A cautionary voice from the US. But the terrorist elite is right. The cautionary voices, which don¹t radically challenge the morality of the whole policy on Iraq, are unconvincing and weak, defending a policy of slow mass murder through starvation and disease against a policy of quick mass murder by massive terror.] * Post-Saddam proves to be sticking point [Extracts, giving some quotes from Al Gore, Richard Perle and Leon Fuerth] * U.S. still hasn't pinned down the best way to deal with Iraq [Will they? Won¹t they? Extracts] * It's Time to Exercise Our Veto Power on Iraq [Mr Gibson wants to go to war to prevent Saddam getting nuclear wepons. He fails to explain why the US should need nuclear weapons if Iraq (in an infinitely more dangerous part of the world) doesn¹t. And of course, while admiring Israel¹s strike against Iraq¹s nuclear installation at the time when Iraq was defending Israel and the rest of the region against the wrath of the Ayatollahs, there isn¹t a cheep about Israel¹s own nuclear weapons ... ] * Missing the target [James Rubin, ex-accomplice of M.Albright, tries to draw a distinction between his own position and that of the Pentagon elite. But its just a matter of Œspin¹. The US is, as always, right. It should, however, make a little more effort to explain things to the dimmer nations of the world. Interesting to note that Rubin is now Œvisiting professor of international relations at the London School of Economics.¹ Is this a sign of the assimilation of the Universities to the process of government, which is already very far advanced in the US, and may not of itself be a bad thing?] * Bin Laden uses Iraq to plot new attacks [It was inevitable that someone would suggest that Bin Laden has taken refuge in Iraq. Not so inevitable that it should have been the Asia Times in what seems quite a well argued and informed article] * Saddam to US: Overthrow my regime but don't strike Iraq [President Hussein reminds us that of late the pretence that the war is againt his regime not against ŒIraq¹ as such is becoming a bit thin.] URLs ONLY: http://www.mlive.com/newsflash/regional/index.ssf?/cgi free/getstory_ssf.cgi?g8218_BC_MI--Attacks-Albright&&news&newsflash-michigan * FORMER SECRETARY OF STATE ALBRIGHT ADDRESSES MICHIGAN STUDENTS by Alexandra R. Moses The Associated Press, 21st February [I would have included it if she¹d said anything interesting. Honest I would. She expresses distaste for the Œaxis of evil¹ language but there¹s no serious disagreement here on the substance of the matter.] http://www.washtimes.com/national/20020222-56041768.htm * WHITE HOUSE WANTS SADDAM OUT OF POWER BY 2005 by Rowan Scarborough Washington Times, 22nd February [More ŒWhite House officials¹ and Œsenior policy makers¹ speaking off the record, this time presumably to deflate exepctations of immediate action] AND, IN NEWS, 16-23/2/02 (2) RINKY-DINK NATIONS (1) EUROPE * Between Two Extremes [Joschka Fischer would like the USA to treat him with respect] * Patten assails 'unilateralist' U.S. [Another little bleat from a European collaborator begging to be treated with respect: "The lesson of Sept. 11 is that we need both American leadership and international cooperation ...²] * Simplistic Criticism of U.S. Overlooks Complex Realities [The Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung argues that Europe will only be deserving of respect when it has increased its military budget sufficiently to be able to make a significant contribution to the fulfilment of US foreign policy objectives.] * German official predicts growing US-EU differences over Iraq policy [Germany pretends to have a mind of its own] * Germany urges int'l pressure on Iraq to let in UN inspectors [Germany gives up pretending that it has a mind of its own.] * Italy Sticks to Policy of Dialogue With Iraq [We¹re not going to have to start liking Silvio Berlusconi, are we?] * Patten seeks to calm rift with US [Europe, having uttered its little yelp of alarm, settles back into its customary Œgood dog¹ mode of existence.] * France's Constructive Critic [Thoughts of Hubert Védrine put in the best possible (to American eyes) light. Extracts.] * European Union alleges U.S. companies sent black-market cigarettes to Iraq [Most of this is about smuggling to Europe but the sting comes in the tale when it is suggested that the cigarettes were smuggled into Iraq through the good offices of the (recently renamed) Kurdistan Workers¹ Party] * France won't back U.S. attack on Iraq [Comparatively firm talk from the French ambassador to the US] URLs ONLY: http://www.faz.com/IN/INtemplates/eFAZ/docmain.asp?rub={B1311FCC-FBFB-11D2 B228-00105A9CAF88}&doc={D136C16D-3E3E-4CF6-933E-E41A2E18EA32} * SOONER RATHER THAN LATER by Leo Wieland Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, 17th February [More worthless ruminations from Germany.] http://www.unison.ie/southern_star/stories.php3?ca=44&si=692439&issue_id=691 4 * ŒWAR FOR CIVILISATION¹ Southern Star, 18th February [The Southern Star, apparently based in Skibbereen in Co Cork is it the successor to the famous Skibbereen Eagle? denounces the evil of Al-Qaida and weak kneed liberals with impressive, straght-faced solemnity: ŒAll the actions in Afghanistan and possibly elsewhere, represent a Œfight for freedom¹ the likes of which the world has never before experienced and as our President said at the start, Ireland must Œstand shoulder to shoulder¹ with America, Britain and the civilised democracies in order to rid the planet of such a horrendous evil.¹ etc] http://dawn.com/fixed/subs/dinasub.htm * EUROPE FIRMLY OPPOSED TO ATTACKING IRAQ by Peter Finn Dawn (from Washington Post), 19th February, 06 Zilhaj 1422 [A round-up of opinions that have already been given elsewhere] http://www.iht.com/articles/48455.html * EUROPE DOESN'T WANT WAR IN IRAQ by Michael Naumann International Herald Tribune (from The New York Times), 19th February [More European handwringing and whingeing and inability to look evil in the face and stand up to it, this time from Œa former German minister of culture .... editor and publisher of the weekly Die Zeit¹. Who makes his timid criticism of US terrorism then mumbles that: ŒA truly enforced policy of serious sanctions against Iraq - and persuading Turkey to stop breaking them - would be more useful.¹] RINKY-DINK NATIONS (2) IRAQ¹S NEIGHBOURS * Kuwaiti minister denies a reported US attack against Iraq from Kuwait * Assad Warns US Against Attacking Iraq * Saudi, UAE oppose action against Iraq * Egypt urges rethink of sanctions against Iraq [No details given] * US to found a central leadership base in Bahrain [Strange to see the Arabic News turning to The Sun for inside information about goings on in Bahrain.] * Sudan opposes US strike on Iraq * Kuwait: we will not be the base to strike Iraq [Won¹t be the base ...] * The scenarios of striking Iraq [Will be the base ...] * Sudan urges Iraq to let U.N. inspectors return * Iraqi delegation holds talks in Turkey Ankara RINKY-DINK NATIONS (3) BRITAIN * Time to stop being America's lap-dog [An interesting article from Will Hutton, which suggests rather naively that there is a good Œliberal¹ America that has been swamped by a reactionary, ideologically motivated one. He concludes: ŒThe Tories broke over Europe. Labour will break over too-slavish fealty to this US.¹ But of course our basic problem is that there is no worthwhile opposition in British politics. In this respect the people who have usurped the honourable title of Tory (which once meant anti-imperialist, anti-free trade, rural, Church and State monarchist) are as bad as the people who have usurped the honourable title of Labour.] * Perhaps a Russian-British lobby against war on Iraq? [Hugo Young. A good first sentence but it quickly runs out of things to say]. * Bombing Baghdad: a failed option [Its taken a long time for someone to come up with this - a developed satire on the analogy between Al Qaida and the IRA - but its still good to see it finally in print. For example: ŒAmerica, on the other hand, provides a bewildering number of targets. Should the UK have bombed Washington, where the policies were formed? Or should it have concentrated on places where Irishmen are known to lurk, like New York, Boston and Philadelphia? The UK could have bombed any police station and fire station in most major urban centres, secure in the knowledge that we would be taking out significant numbers of IRA sympathisers. ¹ What makes this good satire, as opposed to the mindless obscenities of a Steve Bell, and the glutinous mass of eighth rate cartoonists he has spawned, is that what is said here about IRA sympathisers is EXACTLY what is being said everywhere at the present time about sympathisers with those who believe in the establishment of an Islamic state (as any serious Muslim must, just as most Irish people sympathise with the aims of the IRA, whatever attitude they may have to their methods.)] * We must stand by Bush [Here¹s a clever little piece of special pleading. Bush must put pressure on Sharon to be nice to the Palestinians. But he can¹t do it while the Israelis have reason to be scared of Iraq and Iran (ie while there¹s any suggestion that Muslims might have and be prepared to use any sort of substantial military capacity). Iran will cease to be a scary place when the democratic element replaces the clerical element (it being well known that the Muslim Œstreet¹ wants nothing better than to make peace with Israel). But that can¹t happen while Iran is scared of Iraq. Therefore ... And, as far as Britain is concerned: Œthe consequences of stepping aside now from action to change the regime in Iraq would be devastating to our international credibility. We would look like a beached whale, pretentious and overblown.¹ After all, we are Tonto to the US¹s Lone Ranger. Without the Lone Ranger, what would Tonto be?] AND, IN NEWS, 16-23/2/02 (3) RINKY-DINK NATIONS (4) THE UNITED NATIONS * Iraq Says Over 2,400 Contracts Shelved by U.S., Britain * European banks jostle for Iraq's UN contract * Iraq: U.N. Special Rapporteur Concludes Visit, Prepares Report * Iraq Blasts U.N. Compensations Committee [which apparently has been illegally hearing claims from individuals and corporations which have not passed through their respective governments.] * Washington blocks $5bn supplies to Iraq [This one makes some attempt to explain the diparity between UN and Iraqi figures] OTHER RINKY-DINK NATIONS * Iraq seeks Pak expertise in power generation * [Canadian] PM stands firm on Iraq despite U.S. pressure * Baghdad backs anti-terror campaign in Chechnya [In the article, Alexander Rose puts the term ³anti-terrorist² in inverted commas, referring to the Russian campaign in Chechnya. No-one seems to have told him that a large number of the people blown apart in the Al Qaida camps in Afghanistan were Chechens, even though not once, so far as I remember, in all the literature we had to endure at the time of the Afghan massacre, were the rights and wrongs of the Chechen question ever discussed] * Russian Duma to Consider Draft in Support of Iran, Iraq, DPRK [Is the Russian Duma now standing alone as the only free and honourable institution left in the world?] * Self-interest should guide foreign policy [Unusually forthright approach to the problem from Canada. For example: ŒIn a few months, the U.S. will manufacture a causus belli for attacking Iraq, as by insisting on impossibly intrusive U.N. inspections. If Saddam agrees, he'll suffer a devastating loss of face as well as the loss of some of his weapons of mass destruction. If he refuses, down come the bombs with Canada saying, Aye, Aye.¹ Concludes that Canada¹s self interest means taking the moral high ground. And opposing the war (but not, apparently, sanctions).] * What they're saying about intervention in Iraq [Extracts from newspapers through the world. Too short to be very informative, but the one from the Daily Star in Lebanon is a cracker: "Saddam, in short, is the goose that continues supplying the US with fresh golden eggs every morning. Remove Saddam and US troops will be booted out of the Gulf before you can say 'Rumsfeld is a sucker.'"] * Go-slow approach makes sense [Another quite sensible article advocating independence for Canada but still falling short of opposing the existing murderous policy on Iraq.] * China warns Bush over bully tactics against Iraq INSIDE IRAQ * Hussein rejects development of weapons of mass destruction [He said Iraqi nuclear scientists' mission was to "increase Iraq's knowledge, bring happiness to men and to employ science to serve mankind." Pretty scary, eh?] * Alqanat [Arabic language daily] says Iraq buying advanced missiles * Saddam's Olympics * Iraq Decides to Distribute Money to Poor People * Iraq Roadtrip: Caught in the DMZ [This was sent to the list. I don¹t know if ŒCounterpunch¹ really counts as a newspaper but I thought it would be good to insinuate a little hint of the reality of things into the fantasy world of the newspaper cuttings service.] * Iraq sees 12 fold increase in cancer, depleted uranium cited * War tensions tough on Christians in Iraq [This article refers to the importance of Œ²cousin aid² from the outside¹, which connects interestingly with the stories about the suppression of attempts to send money to Iraq from the US, especially the one concerning Detroit in Michigan.] AND, IN NEWS, 16-23/2/02 (4) IRAQIS OUTSIDE IRAQ * Focus-Humans live like cattle in French refugee camp * Raid on Iraqi-owned market here prompts nationwide crackdown * Money-Transfer Agents Raided * Searches seek data on cash links between Twin Cities, Iraq * U.S. raids get evidence about cash sent to Iraq * Brooklyn Park man says he won't send money to Iraq any more IRAQI OPPOSITION * Kurdish parties oppose toppling Saddam * Rebels balk as US targets Saddam [Refreshing to see that someone¹s noticed the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq, the only body that is actually, already, against overwhelming odds, courageously, conducting a terrorist war in Iraq.] * Iraqi opposition figure describes aftermath of Saddam Hussein [ŒMaj. Gen. Najib al-Salehi who was nominated by certain Iraqi opposition forces to be the President of Iraq¹ and who Œwas a commander for the tanks contingent which occupied Kuwait in 1990.¹] * Saddam mulling peace with rebel Kurds * Washington fetes its enemy's enemy [Interview with Ahmed Chalabi. the article menions one ŒLeith Kubba, who helped Mr Chalabi to found the INC a decade ago, but who left after concerns that it was becoming a US foreign policy tool ...¹ which sounds interesting. And it says that the SCIRCI is affiliated to the INC. Is it? They used to be very insistent that they were not in alliance with the US.] * Dethrone Saddam (Granting Independence to the Kurds) [The Washington Times thinking the unthinkable, but logical, and proposing the breakup of Iraq. He suggests interestingly that an independent Iraqi Kurdistan would oblige the Turks to improve their behaviour in their part of Kurdistan.] URL ONLY: http://news.independent.co.uk/world/middle_east/story.jsp?story=138992 * OPPOSITION LEADER 'READY TO SUPPORT LIBERATION OF IRAQ' by Andrew Buncombe Independent, 22nd February [Not very interesting account of A.Chalabi.] LEVEL OF IDIOCY IN A CATEGORY OF ITS OWN [An unkind general heading for an article about people who lost relatives on September 11, but are they so utterly incapable of understanding the feelings of people who lost relatives in the bombing of Baghdad and Basra?] * Families of Sept 11 Dead Sue Bin Laden, Iran, Iraq NEW WORLD ORDER URLs ONLY: http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/nationworld/134406420_saudi17.html * ISRAEL POLICY THREATENS FRAGILE U.S.-SAUDI TIES by Robert G. Kaiser and David B. Ottaway Seattle Times (from The Washington Post), 17th February [The article suggests that in the run-up to Sept 11, Bush and the Saudis were on the point of agreeing a policy for Israel/Palestine. It didn¹t work out.] http://news.independent.co.uk/world/americas/story.jsp?story=134362 * US STARTS A NEW WAR, FOR WORLD'S HEARTS AND MINDS by Rupert Cornwell Independent, 20th February [The article is about the business of telling lies in warfare but it barely scratches the surface of the subject. How could it, given Mr Cornwell¹s support for the War Crimes tribunal at the Hague? It asserts incidentally that the story that the US had used germ warfare in Korea in 1952 was a KGB fabrication. I thought - but I can¹t offhand give a source - that this had recently been confirmed.] http://www.iht.com/articles/48885.html * LIES CAN COME BACK TO HURT YOU by Flora Lewis International Herald Tribune, 22nd February [The article assumes that the purpose of the Pentagon¹s new Office of Strategic Influence is to tell lies and then suggests that this might not be good idea. We are led to believe that such practises are the exception rather than the rule.] INCITEMENT TO HATRED <http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn/A1996-2002Feb12?language=printer> * CAKEWALK IN IRAQ by Ken Adelman Washington Post, 13th February [.....] In 1991 we engaged a grand international coalition because we lacked a domestic coalition. Virtually the entire Democratic leadership stood against that President Bush. The public, too, was divided. This President Bush does not need to amass rinky-dink nations as "coalition partners" to convince the Washington establishment that we're right. Americans of all parties now know we must wage a total war on terrorism. [.....] The writer was assistant to Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld from 1975 to 1977, and arms control director under President Ronald Reagan. http://www.cbsnews.com/now/story/0,1597,329629-412,00.shtml * CHENEY RATTLES SABER AGAINST IRAQ CBS, 15th February In the latest administration move to notch up the pressure on Iraq, reports CBS News White House Correspondent Peter Maer, Vice President Dick Cheney Friday said if aggressive action is needed to deal with Saddam Hussein or any other country fostering terrorism and developing weapons of mass destruction, it will win support from the American public and U.S. allies. Cheney said Iraq and any other country dealing with terrorists should think twice about "whether they want to face the wrath of the United States and the kind of threat that that would represent." Cheney told the Council On Foreign Relations in a question-and-answer session military action is only one option. He describes Iraq as "very much a concern." U.S. officials have said Washington is considering different ways to topple Hussein but the United States is facing opposition from some European allies and Canada over how to pursue its "war on terrorism." Cheney also said he was disappointed with what he called "active support" for terrorism by Iran, linked by President Bush with Iraq and North Korea in an "axis of evil" that threatened world security. "We don't talk about prospective future actions but I think if aggressive action is required, I would anticipate that there will be the appropriate support for that both from the American people and the international community," Cheney said. Mr. Bush used the annual State of the Union last month to denounce Iraq, Iran and North Korea, saying they each combined backing for terrorists with development of chemical, biological and nuclear weapons and may have to be countered by force. Answering a question at a lunch at the Council on Foreign Relations, Cheney said: "If you were to put together a list of states, given our concerns of weapons of mass destruction, states that have supported terrorists in the past or have links and ties, clearly (Iraq) has got to be one we focus on. "We will use all the means at our disposal, military, diplomatic, intelligence, etc, to address these concerns." Several world leaders have expressed concern about Mr. Bush's belligerent tone, fearing the United States, despite stated commitments to consult with allies, is taking a unilateral approach. Canada's Prime Minister Jean Chretien said in Moscow on Thursday the war on terrorism had "to be done multilaterally, if we try to do it unilaterally it will go nowhere." And Chris Patten, the European Union's external affairs chief, writing in the Financial Times on Friday, took further exception with the "axis of evil" connotation. He said the "stunning" military success in Afghanistan "has perhaps reinforced some dangerous instincts: that the projection of military power is the only basis of true security; that the U.S. can rely on no one but itself; and that allies may be useful as optional extras." Cheney also said Washington was unhappy with the Iranian government because of what he said were too many examples of official support of terrorism. "We've seen all too many examples of their active support of terrorism and their...unstinting efforts to develop weapons of mass destruction," he said. Iran's poor relations with the United States seemed to improve somewhat last year when it offered to help downed U.S. pilots in the war in neighboring Afghanistan. But relations have taken a turn for the worse recently after Israel intercepted a shipment of arms which it said were sent by Iran and destined for Palestinian militants. Iran has denied the allegations. Cheney did not cite any specific examples of Iran's active support of terrorism but he may have been alluding to this shipment, which the United States says has undermined attempts to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Saying the Iranian people wanted improved relations with the United States, Cheney went on to accuse the Iranian government of being committed to destroying the Israeli-Palestinian peace process. "We would hope that they would understand the strength of our feelings about this particular set of concerns and that at some point down the road we could find a way to resolve those concerns," Cheney said. U.S. officials have also expressed concern about Iran's attempts to influence the turbulent politics of western Afghanistan, with some seeing an attempt by Iran to maintain influence in the country. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A19019-2002Feb15.html * FACING THE MUSIC ON IRAQ by Jim Hoagland Washington Post, 17th February For more than a decade, Americans have been told by officials of three administrations that ending the deadly and unique threat that Iraq's Baathist regime poses to U.S. interests was not urgent. This was never true. Iraq is America's most important unfinished business abroad. President Bush's recognition of a reality that so many worked so hard for so long to obscure has rallied his own officials to a still-evolving policy of regime change in Iraq. No longer are we told by Colin Powell and others that Saddam Hussein is "in a box." Now we are told that the Iraqi dictator must be ousted through diplomatic, political or military means. There may be less immediate change than meets the eye. In the weeks and months just ahead, both Washington and Baghdad will engage in set pieces of posturing and playing for time during a period of phony war, phony peace. If you get confused by plans to "smarten" economic sanctions on Iraq, implied promises to renew weapons inspections there or Iraqi officials' ostentatiously paying court to U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan, then you will have been paying attention. Much of this is dust in the eyes. [.....] ‹ The three to six months needed to train and equip Iraqi dissidents to play a significant role in toppling Saddam Hussein can be put to good use for other purposes as well. Ahmed Chalabi, a senior figure in the Iraqi National Congress, is urging the Bush administration to give his organization training in civil administration as well as in military tactics. Chalabi wants to prevent a Kabul-type sudden collapse and a chaotic transition in Iraq. ‹ Neither Americans nor foreigners should fall into the trap of setting Iraq up as a symbol of American power and global intentions. This confrontation is about Saddam Hussein's indisputable record of using war, terror and weapons of mass destruction as his only instruments of policy and his clear threats to do so again as soon as he can. The long, costly and misguided delay in dealing with him shows this is not part of an American master plan of global domination. [.....] Progress came last week when the State Department dropped the pretense that Syria and other states could be persuaded to police their borders and halt lucrative, sanctions breaking smuggling with Iraq. Poorly advised on his first trip to the Middle East last year, Powell originally trumpeted Syrian promises to that effect. The secretary of state also now seems not to be pushing his sanctions-streamlining effort as a way to stall or deflect military action against Iraq, but to set the stage for it. [.....] NO URL * GUNG-HO AND ALONE IN IRAQ by Arnaud de Borchgrave United Press International, 16th February [This article was sent to the list and I don¹t know where it comes from. But its worth including because it refers to the fact that UN Security Council Resolution 687 calls for "the establishment of a nuclear weapons-free zone in the Middle East region", which, of course, includes Israel. Which is something that requires to be said every time Iraq is accused of violating UN Security Council resolutions. Everyone is violating UN Security Council resolutions.] WASHINGTON: At a book party given by U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney and Lynn Cheney last week, there was no doubt among conservative columnists and intellectuals that the United States would be at war with Iraq before summer. "Within two months of Cheney's return from a 10-day, 10-country (no reporters allowed) swing through the Middle East (which begins in mid-March)," predicted one of the better informed columnists, "the United States will take on Iraq until the Saddam regime, like the Taliban, is defeated." The only reason for not going after the Iraqi leader as an addendum to Afghanistan, another media insider explained, is that the Pentagon had to replenish its almost exhausted arsenal of smart bombs and other precision-guided munitions. The fact that no European ally or Mideastern friend (with the exception of Kuwait) will back the Bush administration if it decides to go it alone does not faze Cheney. He told the Council on Foreign Relations he believed the international community would stand behind the administration. It is hard to believe that U.S. Embassies have fallen prey to telling the home office what the administration wants to hear. More likely ranking visitors from the Middle East have nodded instead of shaking their heads. The only problem with a nod in the Arab world is that it's a sign of politeness, not acquiescence. The Arabs are always loathe to say no. It's rude. At the vice president's book party for the paperback of edition of the novel "The Apprentice" by Scooter Libby, his national security adviser, the buzz was that the United States would go it alone, or almost alone. "All we need is Turkey and Kuwait," said one media star, "and we have them both." When it was suggested that Turkey was not even lukewarm, the knowledgeable columnist said, "not according to my Turkish sources, including the ambassador." Phone calls to equally knowledgeable sources in Ankara elicited no favorable echo. [.....] That the Kurds will rise up against Saddam as soon as the first bombs fall was another given at the vice president's party. Two days later, the Wall Street Journal front-paged a 2,000-word piece from the Kurdish area of Iraq that made clear the Kurds had never had it so good with their share of Iraqi oil sales and wanted no part in a war to remove Saddam from power. Another question raised with the conservative opinion-makers was what happens if the U.S. victory in Afghanistan continues to unravel as it appears to be doing. There was a response for all the caveats. "We should not be involved in Afghanistan beyond the defeat of al Qaida and Taliban," said another stalwart. What happens if Saddam does not sit this out waiting for the superpower to strike? He may well agree to a return of U.N. inspectors - whatever weapons of mass destruction capability he has accumulated is well hidden by now and presumably beyond discovery - under the 1991 U.N. Resolution 687? Saddam is reported to be leaning in that direction with a little wrinkle designed to sway Arab opinion: Resolution 687 has an unimplemented provision that calls for "the establishment of a nuclear weapons-free zone in the Middle East region." Israel is known to have a nuclear arsenal of some 300 weapons. Such a ploy would automatically garner the support of the Arab league of 22 nations. [.....] http://www.theage.com.au/news/state/2002/02/16/FFX59V3VOXC.htmlFEATURES * THE PURGING OF BAGHDAD by Tony Parkinson The Age (Australia), 16th February [.....] This week, White House spokesman Ari Fleischer cast back to the memory of Reagan's terse exchanges with Mikhail Gorbachev in the momentous final hours of the Soviet empire. According to Fleischer, Bush, like Reagan, believes the superpower is at its best in a crisis when its strategy is characterised by "moral clarity". Just as Bush has warned in blunt, unambiguous terms that he stands ready to crush the regime in Baghdad, so was Reagan forthright and unstinting in his demands of Gorbachev. "Ronald Reagan said to Mikhail Gorbachev, `Tear down that wall'," Fleischer reminded the White House press corps on Tuesday. "He didn't say `Would you mind making it a little shorter?' He spoke with moral clarity and, as a result, the world is a better place." [.....] http://www.ctnow.com/news/opinion/editorials/hc evil.artfeb17.story?coll=hc%2Dheadlines%2Deditorials * PARSING THE AXIS OF EVIL Hartford Courant, 17th February Iraq, North Korea and Iran are not the only countries aspiring to build weapons of mass destruction. There are at least a dozen other countries with similar aims. Most prominent among them are India and Pakistan, whose governments already have nuclear weapons and are more likely to use them than any other government possessing such arms. Yet President Bush has named only Iraq, North Korea and Iran as the world's evil triumvirate. It's not that simple. Left unsaid in Mr. Bush's assertions is that Iran's ayatollahs abhor Iraq's regime and North Korea's communist rulers have nothing in common with the religious zealots in Tehran. This "axis of evil" is made up of dissonant parts. Although Mr. Bush has not let up on the axis theme he enunciated at his State of the Union address on Jan. 29, his secretary of state tried to explain the phrase last week. In congressional testimony, Colin L. Powell separated Iraq from Iran and North Korea. There are no plans "to start a war with" the latter two countries, he said. With respect to Iraq, a change in the regime in Baghdad would be in the best interests of the region and of the Iraqi people, Mr. Powell said. He noted, however, that there are no plans to invade that country. He is right about the desired change in Iraq. But it will not come about just because America wishes or wills it. The United States has been at war with the Hussein regime for more than a decade. The regime does not control its air space. Its territory has gone through a de facto partition, with the north ruled by Kurds and the southern third by Shiites. The regime has endured a military, economic and diplomatic embargo rarely before imposed for so long against a single country. Moreover, the Central Intelligence Agency already is authorized to destabilize the Hussein dictatorship and has been trying for years to organize an Iraqi opposition. What else can the United States do? Launch a major war, which U.S. military analysts say would require some 200,000 troops and the active cooperation of several governments? Although Mr. Hussein can be beaten militarily on his home turf in open warfare, it will not be as easy as the war against the Taliban in Afghanistan, whose ragtag fighting forces were one-tenth the size of Iraq's better-equipped forces. In Afghanistan, the Northern Alliance was a far more effective antidote to the Taliban than Iraq's disjointed, unfocused and unmotivated National Congress. In 1990, Iraq's military quickly unraveled because it invaded a foreign country and faced a mighty and united coalition that included virtually every Arab country. The alliance coalesced before the war, not after a U.S. invasion. The situation is substantially different today. Still, sending only U.S. forces to fight a war on Iraqi soil would be justified if there is compelling evidence that the Hussein regime is engaged in international terrorism, linked to the al Qaeda network and possesses weapons of mass destruction. Neither the CIA nor NATO intelligence has been able to connect Iraq to al Qaeda, whose religious puritans are offended by Mr. Hussein's secularist nationalism. As for Iraq's arms-building program, its magnitude is in dispute in the West. Moreover, several governments, including those in China, Russia, France, Germany, Egypt and Jordan, are sustaining Iraq's military. They are not fully honoring the U.N. sanctions. The Bush administration should insist that they do so. The most effective way of choking the Hussein military apparatus is to shut off the supply pipeline for materials to build weapons of mass destruction. Also, if the United States concludes that Mr. Hussein is indeed building such weapons, it can pinpoint those facilities and destroy them from the air, as Israel once did, without a full scale war. Mr. Bush's axis-of-evil rhetoric is blunt because, as he put it, Iraq "needs to understand I am serious." No one doubts that. But as Mr. Powell indicated last week, though the United States can handle Iraq militarily, it cannot also launch wars on "evil" regimes in North Korea and Iran, rebuild Afghanistan and fight terrorists from the Philippines to Indonesia, Algeria, Sudan, Yemen and a score of other countries. Even with Iraq, the mission cannot be merely to destroy the regime in a war. What comes next? Nation building in Afghanistan would have been impossible were it not for the participation of at least a dozen other countries, especially Britain, Turkey and Russia. On invading Iraq, the United States would be an alliance of one. No government has hinted it would support Mr. Bush in a war against Iraq, Iran or North Korea. To the contrary, key powers, such as France, Germany, China and Russia, have served notice that they will actively oppose such an operation. As the conservative British periodical The Economist notes, "To fight an axis of evil, even a superpower needs an axis of its own." http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/nationworld/134406278_saddam17.html * POST-SADDAM PROVES TO BE STICKING POINT by Todd S. Purdum Seattle Times (from The New York Times), 17th February WASHINGTON ‹ A bipartisan consensus has emerged in the Bush administration and Congress that the United States can no longer tolerate an Iraqi regime led by Saddam Hussein. Former Vice President Al Gore, for example, recently told the Council on Foreign Relations: "Failure cannot be an option, which means that we must be prepared to go the limit." [.....] "It would be a tragedy if Saddam is removed only to be replaced by another tyrant," said Richard Perle, an assistant secretary of defense in the Reagan administration who is now a vocal advocate of action against Saddam. Yet, Perle argues that fretting about future instability in Iraq amounts to defending the status quo. "There's nothing stable about Iraq now," he said. "Iraq under Saddam has been a source of war and instability for 20 years. They've invaded Iran, they've invaded Kuwait, they've paid suicide bombers in the West Bank." Still, he acknowledged, "It's hard to separate a post-Saddam regime from different views about how to go about replacing him, and there are people who think the most promising route is a coup d'etat and that almost certainly delivers Iraq into the hands of whoever does it." [.....] In an interview, Fuerth, now a visiting professor at George Washington University, agreed with Perle on at least one point: "Who's going to run this country?" he said. "Is it going to be run by the next-nastiest person in line after Saddam Hussein? Success would be not a military dictatorship but an honest-to-God democracy in a state that is federalized, so it provides the means to accommodate the three major groups, Kurds, Sunnis and Shiites." [.....] http://www.iht.com/articles/48648.html * U.S. STILL HASN'T PINNED DOWN THE BEST WAY TO DEAL WITH IRAQ by Alan Sipress International Herald Tribune (from The Washington Post ), 20th February WASHINGTON: Despite a sense of possibility created by the swift U.S. military successes in Afghanistan, Bush administration planners have yet to agree on whether to remove President Saddam Hussein of Iraq and on how to achieve this, according to officials across the government. [.....] "Now we are not in a position where the president is trying to make an imminent decision about how to deal with Iraq," said the national security adviser, Condoleezza Rice. "We're pursuing a range of policy options, including, for instance, trying to change the nature of the sanctions with Iraq." "This is a very patient president," she said. The administration's leading hawk on Iraq, Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz, has cautioned that U.S. officials must meet with allies and other interested governments before deciding on a direction. "It is a leap from what the president said in the State of the Union message to concluding any particular course of action," Wolfowitz said after a meeting of European security officials in Munich two weeks ago. "What the president did was identify a problem." He added, "We are a long way from decisions about what to do." [.....] Middle East analysts point to at least two official moves that would advance any U.S. operation against Baghdad and might even signal that one is in the works. For one, the U.S. Central Command, responsible for military action in both Afghanistan and Iraq, has detailed top army, navy, air force and Marine commanders to the region since Sept. 11. Analysts and some administration officials also say it is unlikely that someone of Cheney's stature would visit the region unless he had concrete plans to share. [.....] http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,45998,00.html * IT'S TIME TO EXERCISE OUR VETO POWER ON IRAQ by John Gibson Fox News, 20th February Writing to the op-ed page of the New York Times, Germany's former minister of culture explains why Europe is so crazed about America not picking a fight with Saddam Hussein and Iraq. Michael Naumann argues that Europeans have a healthy fear of getting into a war for the wrong reasons. Something like World War I results, where millions are killed and civilizations are laid to waste over stupid stuff that didn't really justify war in the first place. Mr. Naumann is right to be wary of going into war for reasons that are not clear, not focused, and do not have a war-justifying purpose. But he and his European friends are wearing blinders about Iraq. He as much as admits to this deep in his piece when he says German, English, French and Russian businesses are doing lucrative deals with Saddam that they don't want to lose, and that they are the ones pressuring their governments to get the Americans to stand down. The blinders come in when the Europeans say with a straight face that Saddam Hussein's intentions to use weapons of mass destruction have not been proven. It was proven years ago and by Saddam himself when he got into a nuclear program he didn't need for any other reason than to create weapons. Iraq has huge oil resources, plenty to produce all the electric power the country needs. Saddam was going nuke to make weapons plain and simple, and the Israelis stopped him in his tracks when they bombed the reactor. Now we have plenty of good reason to think he is sniffing around other weapons of mass destruction possibilities. And frankly, we are tired of worrying about this stuff. It's time to exercise our veto power. We don't have to put up with someone that dangerous running a country that dangerous if he won't agree to international rules that de-fang him. We really don't It's a mystery to us why the Europeans are willing to live with that threat, why they are so willing to be in denial about that threat. But we don't have to, and evidently we are not going to. Our government has made it as clear as it can be made. Saddam is going to heel or he is going to be gone. I've heard the secretary of state say it, I've heard the president say it, and I think the Europeans better get used to the idea. Don't you? That's My Word. http://news.ft.com/ft/gx.cgi/ftc?pagename=View&c=Article&cid=FT38E6I0ZXC&liv e=true * MISSING THE TARGET by James Rubin Financial Times, 21st February In recent weeks, the Bush administration has needlessly damaged the remarkable international coalition constructed after September 11. While some of this slackening on the part of America's friends and allies was inevitable, a big part of the problem has been the way in which the State Department has been marginalised in the day-to-day management of the war on terrorism. Recent indications that the Pentagon intends to manage a global information campaign through an Office of Strategic Influence is a prescription for further trouble. While Pentagon officials have certainly run the military operations in Afghanistan brilliantly, their handling of decisions that affect foreign affairs, especially public diplomacy, has been less sure-footed. For example, the release of the videotape that provided overwhelming evidence of Osama bin Laden's culpability in the attacks on the World Trade Center was a missed opportunity. Many in the Muslim world remain unconvinced or think it is a forgery. Some scepticism was to be expected. But if US diplomats had presented the tape in a public meeting of the United Nations Security Council, rather than the Pentagon releasing the tape to US networks, the chances of overcoming that scepticism would have been much greater. The American people were already convinced of Mr bin Laden's guilt. It was the court of world opinion that should have been the target audience. Had the tape been released by the US ambassador to the UN, other countries all over the world would surely have validated its significance at that meeting, in much the same way that they validated the evidence presented to the UN by Adlai Stevenson during the Cuban missile crisis and Madeleine Albright following Iraq's attempted assassination of President George Bush in Kuwait in 1993 and Cuba's shooting down of US civilian aircraft in 1996. This type of diplomacy was probably not considered because Colin Powell, secretary of state, had lost a similar battle with Donald Rumsfeld, secretary of defence, a few weeks earlier, when the president overruled Mr Powell's proposal to release an unclassified compilation of evidence against Mr bin Laden and al-Qaeda. Similarly, top Pentagon officials were not attuned to international opinion in their initial statements about the treatment of prisoners at Guantanamo. Much of the controversy, which included outrage from even stalwart British supporters of the US, could have been avoided. The mistake was not so much the treatment of the prisoners, or even the legal complexities, but the initial comments suggesting that the US was not at all concerned about the prisoners' conditions. If Washington had stuck to a simple line that "the prisoners will be treated in a manner consistent with the principles of the Geneva convention" until the legal arguments had been sorted out, perhaps there would have been a debate among lawyers rather than a public relations nightmare. It was not until Mr Powell, reflecting the importance of world opinion, weighed in himself that the decision was clarified to include an acceptance of the procedures of the Geneva conventions for the Taliban soldiers. The controversy has now largely faded away. The "axis of evil" is another example. George W. Bush was absolutely right to use his bully pulpit to highlight the spectre of weapons of mass destruction in the hands of rogue states such as North Korea, Iran and Iraq. But his gratuitous rhetoric has caused an outcry across Europe. By lumping Iran and North Korea together with Iraq, Mr Bush gave America's friends and allies reason to fear the prospect of war against all three. He has now had to rule out an invasion of North Korea. The result is less credibility for future warnings and less support for the far more likely scenario of an attack only on Iraq, either to overthrow Saddam Hussein or to destroy the regime's capabilities for making weapons of mass destruction. The fact is that Japan and South Korea, and America's Nato allies in Europe, all believe the best way to deal with the threat from North Korea and Iran is through diplomacy not military means. Why undermine a grand coalition for a clever line in a speech, when Washington needs the coalition's help in combating al-Qaeda and would benefit from its support against Iraq? Again, it appears top officials at the State Department tried to soften the White House rhetoric but their concerns were largely ignored. The outcry over reports of Pentagon-led disinformation campaigns has already further damaged American credibility. Maintaining international support for US objectives is crucial to the success of the war on terrorism. The president should, of course, give prominence to the warriors when it comes to military operations. But it is just as important to give diplomats the lead when it comes to foreign relations - and especially public diplomacy. The writer was assistant secretary of state from 1997 to 2000. He is visiting professor of international relations at the London School of Economics. http://atimes.com/c-asia/DB23Ag02.html * BIN LADEN USES IRAQ TO PLOT NEW ATTACKS by Syed Saleem Shahzad Asia Times, 23rd February KARACHI - In the light of Osama bin Laden's background and his international contacts and associations, there are strong indications that the world's most wanted terrorist has taken sanctuary in Iraq after fleeing Afghanistan via Iran. And given the enduring structure of his al-Qaeda network, it is most likely that he is already planning simultaneous terror attacks on United States interests in many parts of the world. Despite exhaustive efforts in Afghanistan, including the crushing of the Taliban regime, the US has been unable to come even close to capturing the Saudi exile, whom Washington blames for masterminding the September 11 attacks on the US, as well as other acts of terrorism. It is no coincidence, perhaps, that US President George W Bush, in preparing to pursue America's war on terrorism beyond the campaign in Afghanistan, has accused Iraq, Iran and North Korea of being a part of an "axis of evil". A close examination of militant outfits and religious groups clearly shows that al-Qaeda and the Taliban are two utterly different entities - in their leadership, in the nature of their followers and in their modus operandi. The Taliban, who assumed power in Afghanistan in 1996, were characterized by deep introversion and the rigid application of a quirky strain of fundamentalist Islam, while al Qaeda members have been noted for their sophisticated, extroverted and flexible approach in consolidating their international terror network since its inception in 1989, at which time they vowed to "oppose non-Islamic governments with force and violence". Although the Taliban and al-Qaeda on the surface presented a picture of co-existence during bin Laden's stint as a "guest" of Taliban leader Mullah Omar in Afghanistan, the fact is that it was not Mullah Omar's version of Islam that attracted bin Laden and his trusted sidekick, Egyptian surgeon Aimen al Zawhari. Rather, the canny al-Qaeda leaders had ulterior motives. According to sources, despite the extreme rivalry between the Taliban regime and Shi'ite-ruled Iran after Taliban soldiers killed hundreds of Hazara tribesmen belonging to the Shi'ite Muslim community, as well as a number of Iranian diplomats in the the northern Afghan city of Mazar-i-Sharif, al-Qaeda's wing outside of Afghanistan maintained good ties with Iranian leaders. In fact, outright conflict between Afghanistan and Iran was averted largely through the intervention of Lebanon-based members of al-Qaeda. Similarly, bin Laden and the al-Qaeda have maintained close relations with Iraqi intelligence since the early 1990s. In 1994, Iraqi intelligence chief Farooq al-Hijazi visited the Sudanese capital of Khartoum, where bin Laden had established a headquarters for al-Qaeda in 1991 to run businesses to provide it with income and support. Farooq and bin Laden met. Also present was Dr Hasan Turabi, the head of the Muslim Brotherhood organization of Sudan. (Bin Laden married one of Turabi's nieces while he was in Sudan.) This meeting was to prove helpful to both bin Laden and Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein. In his ongoing fight to suppress Kurdish dissidents, Saddam needed help. This was provided by underground Islamic groups at the instigation of bin Laden. These groups later openly functioned to carry out relief work in Iraq. Two of bin Laden's senior lieutenants, Abdullah Qasim and Mohammed Abu Islam, met with Saddam, at which time the Iraqi leader agreed to provide military training to Saudi al Qaeda members and to equip them with arms and ammunition. One of the key goals of al Qaeda by this time had become to drive US forces out of Saudi Arabia, where they had remained since the Gulf War of 1991. After this verbal promise from Saddam, Saudi citizens were able to travel to Baghdad without passports, using special routes, to receive training in Iraq. Sources say that al Zawhari also visited Saddam and proposed the establishment of al-Qaeda offices in Iraq. The suggestion was accepted, with guarantees that bin Laden would never use his people to rouse the Iraqi masses against Saddam's rule. Subsequently, Iraq became the center of activity for Egyptian, Yemani and Saudi youths being trained the al-Qaeda way. At the time that the US started bombing the Tora Bora mountain range in Afghanistan in its search for bin Laden late last year, Asia Times Online reported that the elusive leader had last been seen in Kandahar, the former Taliban stronghold, and that his most likely destination in the face of advancing US troops was Iran. It appears now that bin Laden did indeed travel to Iran, using the maze of smuggling routes over the porous border between the two countries, before moving on to Iraq and making contact with the well-established Al Qaeda network in place there. Here he is in contact with Abu Zubaida, his new chief of military operations, to coordinate a new wave of attacks on American interests. Abu Zubaida is the nom de guerre of an influential Palestinian with deep contacts within Hamas, the Islamic Jihad and Hezbollah. He is said to be capable of manipulating events in the Middle East. Abu Zubaida, who posed as a honey salesman, was also responsible for running terror training camps in Afghanistan for recruits from around the world for al-Qaeda's declared jihad against the United States. He has been named in an official United Nations list of people with connections to bin Laden. Investigations show that al-Qaeda took several years to organize the September 11 attacks on New York and the Pentagon, with preparations beginning in earnest after the US fired missiles on Afghanistan during Bill Clinton's presidency in retaliation for the 1998 bomb attacks on US embassies in Nairobi and Dar es Salaam. Any new attacks will likely also take a long time to plan, but this time Iraq and Iran are expected to play a pivotal role in any al-Qaeda adventures. http://www1.timesofindia.com/articleshow.asp?art_id=1810834 * SADDAM TO US: OVERTHROW MY REGIME BUT DON'T STRIKE IRAQ Times of India (from AFP), 22nd February BAGHDAD: Iraqi President Saddam Hussein said on Friday he would rather be overthrown by the United States than see his country be the target of destructive air strikes, the official INA news agency reported. "We give our support ... to the option of overthrowing the regime -- a civilised slogan -- which is better than attacking, striking the population, harming it and destroying its resources," he said during a meeting with military officials marking the Muslim holiday of Eid al-Adha. 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