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[casi] Important FT Investigation - Dec. 02 - Jan. 03 Admin. Decided to Invade



"Ahead of the G8 summit in France this weekend, a five-part FT investigation
reveals the inside story of the diplomatic meltdown that led to war in
Iraq." (1) See footnote 1 for the main investigation url and subsequent
footnotes for some stories to date.  For the Financial Times' main Iraq
page, go to www.ft.com/iraq

The investigation suggests the US Administration seemed to decide to invade
Iraq several months before the mid-March invasion, and regardless of the
on-the-ground presence and work of UNMOVIC/IAEA.

Some key excerpts (especially note the quote from a "senior aide to
President George W. Bush", a "person who worked closely with the National
Security Council during those days after [Iraq's proscribed weapons']
declaration was delivered on December 8", referring to the declaration: "A
tinpot dictator was mocking the president. It provoked a sense of anger
inside the White House. After that point, there was no prospect of a
diplomatic solution"):

[begin]

France concluded in early January that the US had abandoned the diplomatic
path to disarm Iraq via the United Nations and was already determined to
overthrow Saddam Hussein.

The conclusion, confirmed to the FT by French foreign minister Dominique de
Villepin, lay at the heart of the confrontation between the US-led coalition
and the anti-war camp championed by France, Germany and Russia. "I realised
then that those who wanted to make war had a free hand," Mr de Villepin
said.

The clash, which shook transatlantic relations and caused a major split
within Europe over allegiance to Washington, is examined in depth in an FT
report beginning on Tuesday.

Bush administration officials indicate that the French assessment was
justified.

A senior aide to President George W. Bush says the critical "internal
moment" in the White House came in the second week of December, when the
president was briefed on Iraq's weapons declaration. "It was not even a
credible document," the White House official said.

The president was told that the Iraqi regime appeared to have made a
decision not to cooperate with the UN process of disarmament. "This was more
of the same. It was checkmate."

"A tinpot dictator was mocking the president. It provoked a sense of anger
inside the White House. After that point, there was no prospect of a
diplomatic solution," said one person who worked closely with the National
Security Council during the days after the declaration was delivered on
December 8.

[end] (2)

[begin]

President Jacques Chirac ordered Maurice Gourdault-Montagne, his personal
diplomatic adviser, to fly to Washington to see Condoleezza Rice, Mr Bush's
national security adviser, to find out what was up in the US capital.

Their meeting took place on January 13, over lunch on the mahogany table in
Ms Rice's neat, net-curtained office at the front of the West Wing of the
White House. Jean-David Levitte, the French ambassador, and Steve Hadley, Ms
Rice's number two, were present.

Mr Gourdault-Montagne - known by his Hollywood-style initials MGM in the
corridors of the French bureaucracy - had come with three arguments
cautioning against any rush to war. Courteous but firm, he warned that such
action might, in the view of his president, destabilise other Arab
governments in the region. War would spur recruitment to al-Qaeda. And there
was still no evidence to link al-Qaeda to Baghdad.

His concerns were bluntly dismissed. "They got the reply: boom, boom, boom,"
a senior French diplomat recalls. "Everything was impossible. The
preparations for war must proceed.

"The message from Condi Rice was absolutely clear. The US had decided that
military action was necessary to resolve the Iraqi crisis and the only thing
that would stop it was the fall, or departure, of Saddam Hussein."

Mr Gourdault-Montagne also met Paul Wolfowitz, deputy defence secretary at
the Pentagon and the leading advocate of military intervention to overthrow
Mr Hussein. He learnt that the "window of opportunity" for invasion was open
until mid-March, when summer temperatures would make desert warfare
well-nigh impossible.

The message went straight back to Paris and galvanised French government
thinking.

[end] (3)

1.
http://news.ft.com/servlet/ContentServer?pagename=FT.com/StoryFT/FullStory&c=StoryFT&cid=1051390321240&p=1051390283578
2. Robert Graham and James Harding, "US accused of deserting diplomatic path
in Iraq", Financial Times, 26 May 2003,
http://news.ft.com/servlet/ContentServer?pagename=FT.com/StoryFT/FullStory&c=StoryFT&cid=1051390328640&p=1031119383196
and Quentin Peel, Robert Graham, James Harding and Judy Dempsey, "How the US
set a course for war with Iraq", Financial Times, 26 May 2003,
http://news.ft.com/servlet/ContentServer?pagename=FT.com/StoryFT/FullStory&c=StoryFT&cid=1051390328587&p=1051390283578
3. Quentin Peel, Robert Graham, James Harding and Judy Dempsey, "How the US
set a course for war with Iraq", Financial Times, 26 May 2003,
http://news.ft.com/servlet/ContentServer?pagename=FT.com/StoryFT/FullStory&c=StoryFT&cid=1051390328587&p=1051390283578

Nathaniel Hurd
Consultant on United Nations Iraq policy
Tel. (Mobile): 917-407-3389
Fax: 718-504-4224
E-mail: nathaniel_hurd@hotmail.com
777 United Nations Plaza
Suite 7A
New York, NY  10017

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