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[casi] Weekly Iraq News Analysis: April 27, 2003



News Analysis
April 27, 2003


Active steps towards establishing an Iraqi
government are underway. A meeting in Baghdad on
Monday the 28th is expected to have wide ranging
attendance. Iraqi major political groups issued
the Madrid Declaration expressing confidence in
Iraq's democratic future.

Essential services are being restored in Iraq.
Oil production resumes and starts to meet
domestic needs. Hundreds of POWs are being
released every day. American troops start
putting an end to some self-appointed local
governors, including Abbas Abu Ragef in Kut
(linked to SCIRI) and Mohammed Al Zubaidi in
Baghdad (linked to the INC).

France's u-turn regarding sanctions paves the
way for a possible single resolution for lifting
the embargo instead of lifting it in phases.
This seems to be part of a new French strategy
towards Iraq. A visit by the French Foreign
Minister to Jordan was followed by a Jordanian
attack on the Pentagon-backed Iraqi politician
Ahmed Chalabi. Regional players continue to
interfere in Iraqi affairs, allegedly including
sending agents across the borders to cause
instability. Syria responded to American threats
(about harbouring Iraqi officials) by expelling
Iraqi refugees.

Hundreds of thousands of Iraqi Shia gather in
Karbala in a strong show of power, but they seem
to have disappointed those who hoped to see mass
anti-American protests.

The capture of Tariq Aziz might lead to
revelations about Saddam's International deals,
and Iraqi scientists start to reveal the
deception techniques of Saddam's regime.
News Analysis provided by the Iraqi Prospect
Organisation: http://www.iprospect.org.uk
See the IPO's work in media:
http://www.iprospect.org.uk/media.html



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