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[casi] Background: AIPAC and the Iraqi opposition




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http://www.haaretzdaily.com/hasen/pages/ShArt.jhtml?itemNo=281270

Background: AIPAC and the Iraqi opposition

By Nathan Guttman



WASHINGTON - An unusual visitor was invited to address the annual conference
held last week in Washington by AIPAC, the pro-Israeli lobby in the United
States: the head of the Washington office of the Iraqi National Congress,
Intifad Qanbar. The INC is one of the main opposition groups outside Iraq,
and its leaders consider themselves natural candidates for leadership
positions in the post-Saddam Hussein era. Qanbar's invitation to the
conference reflects a first attempt to disclose the links between the
American Jewish community and the Iraqi opposition, after years in which the
two sides have taken pains to conceal them.

The considerations against openly disclosing the extent of cooperation are
obvious - revelation of overly close links with Jews will not serve the
interests of the organizations aspiring to lead the Iraqi people. Currently,
at the height of rivalry over future leadership of the country among
opposition groups abroad, the domestic opposition and Iraqi citizens, it is
most certainly undesirable for the Jewish lobby to forge - or flaunt -
especially close links with any one of the groups, in a way that would cause
its alienation from the others.

"At the current stage, we don't want to be involved in this argument," says a
major activist in one of the larger Jewish organizations.

In the end, Intifad Qanbar did not attend the AIPAC conference.

At the last moment, he was asked by the American administration to go to
northern Iraq to help organize opposition to Saddam there. In his place,
another well-known opposition activist spoke to the conference, Kana Makiya,
who is less identified with the Iraqi exile organizations.

The Jewish groups maintain quiet contacts with nearly every Iraqi opposition
group, and in the past have even met with the most prominent opposition
leader, Ahmed Chalabi. The main objective was an exchange of information, but
there was also an attempt to persuade the Iraqis of the need for good
relations with Israel and with world Jewry.

"You have to be realistic about your aims," says one Jewish activist. "You
have to understand that Iraq will be an Arab state, and that it won't want to
adopt a controversial foreign policy."

Nevertheless, the Jewish activists make it clear they do expect the future
Iraqi regime to obligate itself not to be aggressive toward Israel and adopt
the mainstream view of the Arab world, "perhaps something like the position
taken by Saudi Arabia or the Gulf states," says the activist.

Sources in the Jewish community noted last week that while Chalabi's people
expressed positive opinions vis-a-vis Israel in conversations with Jews,
Adnan Pachachi, another opposition leader who recently founded an opposition
movement that competes with the Iraqi National Congress, said last week in
London that he does not expect good relations between the new Iraq and
Israel, as this would be antithetical to Iraqi interests.

Prayer for soldiers
Aside from the annual AIPAC conference, two other major events in the United
States last week underscored the gamut of opinions and perspectives in the
American Jewish community on the war. The positioning of the AIPAC people
behind the coalition forces and behind those who sent them is not surprising.
AIPAC is wont to support whatever is good for Israel, and so long as Israel
supports the war, so too do the thousands of the AIPAC lobbyists who convened
in the American capital.

There is no such uniformity among the various religious Jewish movements, and
indecisiveness is still very much the case. In Los Angeles, members of the
Conservative movement's Rabbinical Assembly gathered and tried to clarify
their position on the war. The 350 rabbis shelved the discussions that were
on the original program, and devoted all of their time to the question of
whether they were for or against the war. In the end, the issue was submitted
to an executive council, which issued a draft resolution that offered support
for the war, albeit with reservations.

"Judaism affirms the permissibility of war as a response to life-threatening
aggression, current or anticipated," read the statement drafted by the
Conservative rabbis, who confirmed that they were in agreement with the idea
of a preemptive war such as the one declared by President Bush. The
movement's rabbis also expressed support for the efforts of coalition forces
to remove the threat of terror and nuclear weapons, and expressed support for
the soldiers themselves. The movement qualified this by stating that Judaism
"affirms the supreme value of peace and peacemaking," although it could
accept wars conducted for the purposes of defense.

The rabbis also called for "continued restraint" in conducting actions among
civilian populations and for harming non-combatants to be avoided as much as
possible.

Nevertheless, the Conservative movement went through its share of trial and
tribulation before reaching this draft resolution. Before the war and in its
initial days, Rabbi Ismar Schorsch, the chancellor of the Jewish Theological
Seminary, the movement's primary educational institution, was one of the most
prominent spokesmen against the war. The U.S. was entering an "era of
darkness," he said, adding the war was motivated by political, not defensive,
aims.

Once the war began, however, Rabbi Schorsch took a step back. In a New York
Times article, he declared that he did not want to criticize the war at a
time when soldiers were engaged in combat. Many viewed this as a restatement
of his views.

To a great extent, the approach taken by Schorsch reflects the path taken by
the Conservative movement. Despite the wide diversity of opinions within the
movement on the eve of the war, and the numerous reservations voiced, as soon
as combat began, those with criticism opted to declare their support and
minimized their criticism. The resolution approved in Los Angeles last week
is a product of this process.

The dilemma is more pronounced among Reform Jews. They also convened last
week to formulate a joint position, and they too were careful not to launch
any strident criticism of the war itself. The Reform movement is considered
the home of liberal Jewry, and its membership is thought to be people who
were the driving force of the civil rights movement of the `60s. It was not
surprising, therefore, that the Democratic members of Congress who came to
address the conference, including Senator Edward Kennedy and House Minority
Leader Nancy Pelosi, were received with thunderous applause. The sole
Republican representative, Congressman Eric Cantor, sufficed with a modicum
of polite applause.

Sharp criticism was voiced from the podium at President Bush on a variety of
issues, but criticism of the war in Iraq did not take central stage.

"While there is a spectrum of views in the Reform movement on the Iraq war,
there is a consensus that it does not take the place of all the other wars -
against poverty, hatred and exploitation," said Rabbi Eric Yoffie, president
of the Union of American Hebrew Congregations.

The only decision relevant to the war was agreement on a prayer for the
welfare of the soldiers at the front, and recognition of the fact that there
are a variety of opinions on the war. The resolution that was adopted is very
far from constituting an expression of support of any kind for the war, but
is also far from constituting criticism of it.

The situation is simpler among the Orthodox. Immediately upon the outbreak of
the war, the Orthodox Union, the umbrella organization of the community,
released a statement that expressed unequivocal support for President Bush
and his decision to launch the war on Iraq, which was described as having
"noble aims."

So far, the only poll that has been sought to gauge Jewish opinions on the
war - conducted a month before it broke out - found that 56 percent of Jews
were supportive of the war. The rate is said to be even higher now,
corresponding to increased support for the war among the American populace in
general.

Secret relations with Saudi Arabia

Last week, the United States decided to alter the flight paths of its
Tomahawk cruise missiles, which had been passing above Saudi Arabia, in
response to Saudi complaints that four of the missiles had fallen in its
territory and endangered residents of the kingdom. A similar request was
voiced by Turkey, after it developed that the IQ of some of the smart bombs
was not high enough for them to find their way to Baghdad, and they landed on
Turkish soil.

The Saudi request to cease firing the missiles above its territory is
illustrative of a fact that all of the sides are trying to conceal - that
from the outset Saudi Arabia agreed to place its air space at the disposal of
the Americans for the purpose of launching missiles at Iraq from ships in the
Red Sea.

Saudi Arabia is the hidden player in the American war on Iraq. Prior to the
outbreak of combat, it made it publicly clear that it opposed the war and
declared that it would not cooperate with the Americans. As opposed to the
first Gulf War, in which Saudi Arabia was a major partner and a main base of
departure for the military forces in Iraq, it is now sitting on the
sidelines, ostensibly uninvolved. Nevertheless, well-informed American
sources report that the two countries agreed it would be better to obscure
the military cooperation between the two sides, which have reached agreement
to allow America to exploit many of Saudi Arabia's strategic assets.

The trajectory of the cruise missiles above Saudi Arabia is but one example.
It is further charged that the Saudis are also permitting the United States
to use Saudi air space for intelligence flights and that the main U.S. Air
Force base in Saudi Arabia is assisting by providing flight control of the
aircraft conducting bombing missions in Iraq. This American base was supposed
to play a major role in the war, and serve as a home base for most of the
bombing sorties, but in the early stages of preparations for war about six
months ago, the Saudis made it clear they would not permit the Americans to
take off from Saudi soil to bomb Saddam. However, once the crisis atmosphere
faded somewhat, the Americans realized it would be possible to reach quiet
understandings with the Saudis. One if them is that while America would not
take off from Saudi Arabia, it would be able to use its air space, and
provide flight control from its territory.

Another understanding has to do with oil. American war planners feared that
one of the immediate repercussions of the war would be a steep spike in oil
prices, due to both the suspension of albeit limited Iraqi oil exports (of
1.7 million barrels a day) and the generally nervous wartime market. In this
case, Saudi Arabia again entered the picture. Many weeks before the first
shot was fired in the Gulf, the Saudis stepped up the pace of oil production
in order to compensate for a possible shortage, reaching a rate of production
higher than anything in the past 20 years.

The United States is buying up the surplus and laying in a stockpile, while
simultaneously ensuring that world oil prices remain stable. When the war
ends, the U.S. and Saudi Arabia will again be able to out their relationship
from the closet.

One American source declared that the American public would be surprised to
discover just how critical was the Saudi contribution to the American war
effort. The kingdom is not enjoying much support from American public
opinion. On the day after, Washington and Riyadh will have to find a way to
overcome the other obstacles that have hurt relations of the two countries in
the past two years: the attitude toward Crown Prince Abdullah's peace plan,
the issue of Saudi cooperation in the terror investigations, and the
continued massive presence of American soldiers on Saudi soil.



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