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[casi] False documents used by UK/US governments



Dear List

Perhaps the most striking claim in today's proceedings at the Security
Council was that made by IAEA director-general Mohamed ElBaradei that the
documents provided by the US and UK to substantiate their case that Iraq
has tried to import uranium "are in fact not authentic."

He came to this conclusion after reviewing the evidence extensively -
including "correspondence coming from various bodies of the Government of
Niger" - and "compar[ing] the form, format, contents and signatures of that
correspondence with those of the alleged procurement-related
documentation".

One can only conclude then that these documents are deliberate forgeries.

To go over the background, the Blair govt in its 24 Sept 02 said - I think
for the first time - that "there is intelligence that Iraq has sought the
supply of significant quantities of uranium from Africa."

This was clarified by the US State Dept on 19 Dec 02 as "efforts to procure
uranium from Niger".

Now ElBaradei reports today as follows:

"The IAEA has made progress in its investigation into reports that Iraq
sought to buy uranium from Niger in recent years. The investigation was
centred on documents provided by a number of States that pointed to an
agreement between Niger and Iraq for the sale of uranium between 1999 and
2001.

"The IAEA has discussed these reports with the Governments of Iraq and
Niger, both of which have denied that any such activity took place. For its
part, Iraq has provided the IAEA with a comprehensive explanation of its
relations with Niger, and has described a visit by an Iraqi official to a
number of African countries, including Niger, in February 1999, which Iraq
thought might have given rise to the reports. The IAEA was also able to
review correspondence coming from various bodies of the Government of
Niger, and to compare the form, format, contents and signatures of that
correspondence with those of the alleged procurement-related documentation.

"Based on thorough analysis, the IAEA has concluded, with the concurrence
of outside experts, that these documents - which formed the basis for the
reports of recent uranium transactions between Iraq and Niger - are in fact
not authentic. We have therefore concluded that these specific allegations
are unfounded."

ElBaradei concluded: "There is no indication that Iraq has attempted to
import uranium since 1990."

This should be a major scandal: who (specifically) provided the false
documents to the IAEA? Who produced them? And what indication should the US
and UK have that the documents were false?

URLs below:

UK dossier - the claim is at p.25:
http://www.number10.gov.uk/output/Page271.asp

State Department, 19 December:
http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2002/16118pf.htm

ElBaradei statement of 7 March 2003:
http://www.iaea.org/worldatom/Press/Statements/2003/ebsp2003n006.shtml

In addition to the claims above, ElBaradei's arguments today were stronger
than ever:

"After three months of intrusive inspections, we have to date found no
evidence or plausible indication of the revival of a nuclear weapons
programme in Iraq."

"There is no indication of resumed nuclear activities in those buildings
that were identified through the use of satellite imagery as being
reconstructed or newly erected since 1998, nor any indication of
nuclear-related prohibited activities at any inspected sites."

"There is no indication that Iraq has attempted to import aluminium tubes
for use in centrifuge enrichment. Moreover, even had Iraq pursued such a
plan, it would have encountered practical difficulties in manufacturing
centrifuges out of the aluminium tubes in question."

Comments on Blix today are forthcoming.

Best,

Glen.



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