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SPEECH to be delivered on my behalf in Oswestry as part of a debate on the war on Wednesday 5 February 2003. Topic of debate: Is War on Iraq Justified? SPEECH by Milan Rai Friends, I am very sorry not to be able to be with you tonight, but I have a family emergency which requires me to be at home. The motion asks, 'Is war with Iraq justified'. Currently, the British people and the international community are overwhelmingly of the belief that war with Iraq, in the present circumstances, would not be justified. In the present circumstances, war would be not only unjustified, it would be immoral - in its devastating consequences for the 23 million people of Iraq, as Christian Aid and other aid agencies are warning; it would be illegal - in its defiance of international restraints on the use of force, as government lawyers have warned; it would be undemocratic - for ignoring the wishes of the British people and for refusing to allow the British parliament a decisive role in decision-making; and it would be counter-productive - in stimulating the forces of terrorism, and risking 'turning the Middle East into an inexhaustible recruiting ground for anti-western terrorism,' as we have been warned by Douglas Hurd, who was of course Foreign Secretary for the Conservative Party under Margaret Thatcher between 1989 and 1995. As things stand, the argument is too easy. Let us make things more difficult for the anti-war movement. What if weapons of mass destruction are uncovered in Iraq? There is no evidence to suggest this, but for the sake of argument, let us suppose they are found. Furthermore, what if the United Nations Security Council passes a new resolution explicitly authorising the use of force by the United States, Britain, and the rest of the threadbare 'coalition'? What then? Would war be justified? For an answer, let us turn to the Charter of the United Nations, which opens with these words: 'We, the peoples of the United Nations, determined to save succeeding generations from the scourge of war, which twice in our lifetime has brought untold sorrow to mankind...' Article 39 of the Charter says that the UN Security Council can take action - either military or non- military - after it has detected a 'threat to the peace, breach of the peace, or act of aggression'. Article 41 empowers the Security Council to impose 'measures not involving the use of armed force'. Article 42 states that, 'Should the Security Council consider that measures provided for in Article 41 [economic and other non-military sanctions] would be inadequate or have proved to be inadequate, it may take such action by air, sea or land forces as may be necessary to maintain or restore international peace and security'. Two critical questions then. Firstly, does Iraq pose a grave and imminent 'threat to the peace' requiring the use of force (clearly Baghdad has not committed either a 'breach of the peace' and or an 'act of aggression')? Secondly, have nonviolent measures to deal with the 'threat' failed, or are they doomed to failure? In order to determine whether there is a threat or not, it is not sufficient to merely find weapons, of whatever sort, in a country. It also has to be shown that the country possessing these weapons intends to use them in an illegal and aggressive manner to 'breach the peace'. No such evidence of intent exists with regard to Iraq. British Vice-Admiral Sir James Jungius KBE observed recently in a letter to The Times on 1 January: ‘Even if the weapons do exist, where is the evidence of intent to use them? War is too important and unpleasant a business to be undertaken on the basis of a hunch, however good that hunch may be.’ Former Conservative Cabinet Minister Douglas Hogg made the same point on 12 January on BBC Radio 4’s The World This Weekend: ‘The real question is not whether he’s got weapons of mass destruction, but rather whether - if he has got those weapons - he is a grave and imminent threat to the rest of us. ‘There are lots of other countries in the world that do have weapons of mass destruction, or are likely to acquire them, but we don’t necessarily conclude that they are a grave and imminent threat sufficient to justify war.’ ‘So even if he had these things, unless he’s a grave and imminent threat there isn’t a moral basis for war, because the doctrine of self-defence isn’t properly invoked.’ So if there is a second resolution authorising the use of force, it will be an abuse of the UN Charter - because the Security Council can only mandate military action when there is an act of aggression, a breach of the peace, or a threat to the peace - and Iraq is guilty of none of these things. There is no evidence of an aggressive intention, whether or not weapons of mass destruction are found. Let us turn to the second element, the question of whether nonviolent means have been exhausted. The majority of American citizens, according to recent polls, virtually the entire international community, the UN weapons inspectors themselves, and a UN Security Council Resolution all demand months not weeks for the inspectors to do their work. Paragraph 7 of UN Security Council Resolution 1284, from December 1999, says: 'not later than 60 days after they have both started work in Iraq', the UN weapons inspection agencies UNMOVIC and the IAEA should draw up a 'work programme' including 'the key remaining disarmament tasks to be completed by Iraq'. The Resolution says, 'what is required of Iraq for the implementation of each task shall be clearly defined and precise'. The only thing that has been clearly defined and precise is the determination of the United States to scupper the inspection timetable that it used to trumpet as 'the only way forward'. On 27 January, two months after weapons inspectors re-started their work in Iraq, the Security Council should have heard and approved the definition of Iraq's disarmament tasks - should have STARTED the process of verified disarmament in Iraq. Instead, the United States - with British support - has effectively broken up Resolution 1284. So if there is a second resolution authorising the use of force, it will also be in breach of the UN Charter, of Article 42, which says that military action can only take place if nonviolent measures 'would be inadequate or have proved to be inadequate'. This is not simply a matter of 'picking and choosing our Resolutions'. There are objective standards embedded in the UN Charter: Is there a threat to peace? Have nonviolent alternatives been exhausted? The answer to both questions is no, war is not justified. I don't believe that there will be a second Resolution authorising the use of force. I believe a second UN Resolution will be passed, but that it will wave around a threatening phrase such as 'material breach' or 'serious consequences' or 'all necessary means'. We must uphold the UN Charter, even if it means opposing a UN Security Council Resolution. We must oppose this unjustified, immoral, illegal, undemocratic and counter-productive war. There is no evidence that Baghdad intends to use whatever weapons it does possess in an unlawful or aggressive fashion. Iraq is not a grave or imminent threat. There is no evidence that the inspection process has failed or is futile. Inspectors have searched sites alleged by Washington and London to be involved in prohibited activities (though without finding any evidence of such activities). Inspectors have found weapons-related documents and warheads (though they were empty), and they have set up monitoring equipment to ensure that 'dual-use' equipment in Iraq cannot be used to produce weapons of mass destruction without alerting the international community. Give the inspectors time to do their work in peace, according to the schedule laid out in Resolution 1284. War is unjustified. Inaction is not an option, invasion is not an option, inspection is an option. Thank you. _______________________________________________ Sent via the discussion list of the Campaign Against Sanctions on Iraq. To unsubscribe, visit http://lists.casi.org.uk/mailman/listinfo/casi-discuss To contact the list manager, email email@example.com All postings are archived on CASI's website: http://www.casi.org.uk