The following is an archived copy of a message sent to a Discussion List run by the Campaign Against Sanctions on Iraq.
Views expressed in this archived message are those of the author, not of the Campaign Against Sanctions on Iraq.
[Main archive index/search] [List information] [Campaign Against Sanctions on Iraq Homepage]
Are terror attacks really a threat? If Al Qa'ida could repeat 9/11 every year then the probability of dying in such an attack would be something like 3 in 100.000. This is totally insignificant compared to the probability of dying from other unnatural causes, see table below. Does everyone agree that we should place ``Dying as a result of a terror attack by Saddam´´ at the bottom of this table? In case the table doesn't appear correctly, see this article: http://www.boulder.swri.edu/clark/hr.html Table. Chances of dying from selected causes (USA) cause of death Chances Motor vehicle accident 1 in 100 Homicide 1 in 300 Fire 1 in 800 Firearms accident 1 in 2,500 Electrocution 1 in 5,000 Asteroid/comet impact 1 in 20,000 Passenger aircraft crash 1 in 20,000 Flood 1 in 30,000 Tornado 1 in 60,000 Venomous bite or sting 1 in 100,000 Fireworks accident 1 in 1 million Food poisoning by botulism 1 in 3 million Drinking water with EPA limit of tricholoethylene 1 in 10 million (From C.R. Chapman & D. Morrison, 1994, Nature 367, 33-40.) _______________________________________________ Sent via the discussion list of the Campaign Against Sanctions on Iraq. To unsubscribe, visit http://lists.casi.org.uk/mailman/listinfo/casi-discuss To contact the list manager, email email@example.com All postings are archived on CASI's website: http://www.casi.org.uk