The following is an archived copy of a message sent to a Discussion List run by the Campaign Against Sanctions on Iraq.
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There clearly are problems with the operation of International Humanitarian Law in the case of a one-sided conflict as that which I expect to occur in Iraq. I feel that there is a need to go beyond IHL for two reasons. Firstly, a humanitarian reason. Secondly, because otherwise the levels of global conflict will increase. The reason why I set up operationdeserthaven.org is that I believe that there will be a war. I am not sure that Saddam can hold onto power if he loses face so much that he fulfils the conditions set by the UN. Hence he will try to drag out the process, but at some stage there will be a clear break. At that point many global powers will come onside with the US. Russia has been bought off. The French look like they have their pound (or kilo) of flesh sorted out. The Saudis may be clear today that they are not going to back any action, but they have already reversed position a couple of times. Hence it is clear (IMHO) that there will be a war. The question is the how that war is progressed. We are working on proposals for the minimisation of civilian casualties. It is complex running a "contingency" campaign. However, there will not be time to sort everything out once war is finally declared. http://www.operationdeserthaven.org/ihl is an article I have written which goes into a little more detail on the issue about the limitations of International Humanitarian Law. _______________________________________________ Sent via the discussion list of the Campaign Against Sanctions on Iraq. To unsubscribe, visit http://lists.casi.org.uk/mailman/listinfo/casi-discuss To contact the list manager, email firstname.lastname@example.org All postings are archived on CASI's website: http://www.casi.org.uk