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[casi] FW: Iraq: Long Way To Go To See Something That Is Not There




Rick Rozoff's great digging again - Stop NATO.

http://www.smh.com.au/articles/2002/09/04/1031037092697.html

Sydney Morning Herald


The nuke-free guided tour of Iraq
By Paul McGeough, Herald Correspondent in Baghdad
September 4 2002


Akashat is a long way to go to see something that is
not there.

After three hours in a rattling Russian helicopter,
one of Baghdad's most senior weapons scientists
clambered through the bomb-flattened remains of what
he said had been Iraq's only uranium extraction plant,
before declaring: "We don't do it any more."

In the stifling heat of the desert, just a few
kilometres short of where the Euphrates River crosses
into Iraq from Syria, Mohammed Hussam Amin escorted
the Herald to this dusty industrial complex which has
emerged as a possible source of uranium for Saddam
Hussein's feared new nuclear weapons program.

United States and European intelligence agencies are
focusing on the plant, which was a small part of a
rambling fertiliser factory, because its past as a
domestic supply of uranium means that United Nations
sanctions would not necessarily have denied Saddam a
vital ingredient.

This reporter is not a scientist and he did not have
access to the rest of the complex or to any of a
string of other locations named as possible centres in
a dispersed new Iraqi attempt to go nuclear.

But this much of what Dr Amin said yesterday, seems to
be true: More than 70 US air raids on the Company of
Phosphate during the 1991 Gulf War destroyed the
Belgian-supplied uranium extraction plant, which, in
the seven years until the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait,
had produced 168 tonnes of yellowcake.

Dr Amin, a missiles expert who now heads Iraq's
weapons monitoring agency, had a folder of photos of
the imposing structure that existed before the
attacks; more that were taken of the shambles in the
aftermath of the bombing; and an account of how the
site had become the near-vacant lot it appeared to be
yesterday, as the result of a clean-up supervised by
the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).

The hawkish majority in the Bush Administration is
basing its call for a war against Iraq on claims that
the US must strike first because there is "no doubt"
that Saddam has weapons of mass destruction and is
prepared to use them against the US and its allies.

Germany's Federal Intelligence Service last year
raised suspicions about work it said was being done at
Akashat, also referred to as Al Qaim, in a report
predicting Saddam would be able to make a nuclear
strike on his neighbours within three years, and on
targets in Europe within five years.

The extraction of uranium in conjunction with the
mining of phosphate for the Akashat fertiliser works
was raised at hearings by the US Senate's foreign
relations committee last month.

Richard Butler, the Australian who formerly headed the
UN weapons inspection program, quoted to senators from
an IAEA estimation that Saddam could produce a nuclear
weapon in two years; and Khidir Hamza, an Iraqi
nuclear scientist who defected in 1994, told the
hearings Baghdad might be able to develop two or three
nuclear warheads by 2005.

But there are deep divisions in the ranks of Mr
Butler's former inspection staff on Iraq's nuclear
capacity. In March, the British Prime Minister, Tony
Blair, promised a dossier that would prove Iraq had
gone beyond the stage of nuclear blueprints, but he
has not released any. And when the US Vice-President,
Dick Cheney, was pressed on the veracity of the
intelligence last week, he said: "We cannot really
judge."

Recently, Mr Hamza spelt out the risks as he saw them:
"Iraq already had a workable nuclear design when I
left. A minor enrichment capability is all that was
needed to provide the nuclear core for three weapons."

But a "fact sheet" released by the IAEA in April
stated that in the early 1990s it removed 22.4
kilograms of highly-enriched, weapons-grade uranium
from Iraq. It says it was convinced the "intrusive"
inspections it was able to carry out until 1998 had
found all the weapons-grade uranium Iraq had at the
time.

The Vienna-based organisation also destroyed what it
described as several "sophisticated facilities" where
uranium could be enriched to make it
"weapons-useable".

Now, the fate of the inspection process that was
derailed in 1998 is working its way back to the centre
of the Iraq crisis. Flying in over parched earth,
where the only shade away from the green ribbon of the
banks of the Euphrates was the fleeting shadow cast by
our ME-8 chopper, Dr Amin fleshed out the detail of
what seemed to be a coy offer by Iraq's Deputy Prime
Minister, Tariq Aziz, to accept a return to
inspections.

The US has argued recently that inspections are
meaningless because of Iraqi deception, and Iraq has
said more inspections are not an option because the US
would use them to acquire targeting information for
bombing.

But when Mr Aziz was asked about the inspection
process, he seemed to be leaving the door open when he
said: "It is still under consideration."

Amid the remaining missile-gouged walls and tangled
steel reinforcing what was the site of the uranium
extraction plant, Dr Amin yesterday spread his hands
to take in the total destruction: "To talk about this
having been rehabilitated to produce uranium is a
false pretext. We have invited Mr Blair and Congress
to bring their experts to look. That invitation still
stands - and they can go anywhere they like."

Anywhere? Saddam's palaces? "I said anywhere, but I
didn't say the palaces. But let them produce quality
evidence on why they want to go wherever they want to
go; a satellite picture is not enough, they need to be
able to demonstrate why they want to go to places.
They can't come in here and dig up a dairy farm to
look for a bunker under it unless they can show some
evidence. If they were allowed to do that, it would
become a never-ending process."

A persistent question about the weapons programs that
Saddam's officials insist have been abandoned is the
fate of their specialist staff. When the Herald asked
about the antecedents of the staff at a suspect
pesticide factory on Sunday, we were told more than 80
per cent had come from al Muthanna, one of Iraq's old
chemical and biological complexes.

But when Dr Amin was asked yesterday about the
estimated two dozen nuclear specialists known to have
worked on nuclear weapons in the past, he said: "I
don't know if we had 25 or 100 or 10 nuclear
scientists, but none of them is working here. They
would now be working in state enterprises to help the
people - industry, education, agriculture. I think the
IAEA knows where they are."

Late in the afternoon the chopper fleet that took Dr
Amin's party of about 40 to Akashat, headed back to
Baghdad, putting down at the Al Rasheed military
complex.

And there on the tarmac, as our war-weary old
helicopters shuddered to a halt, were another three
bedraggled looking aircraft that weren't going
anywhere in a hurry - the white-painted UN helicopters
that have been sitting idle since the last
international inspectors left Iraq in 1998.


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