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RE: Looking for Figures



> I am looking for figures preferably from reputable respected sources on a
number of issues related to sanctioned Iraq.
>
> I am trying to find a breakdown on estimates for:
> i) The number of estimated deaths per day.
> ii) The number of estimated deaths per month.
> iii) The number of estimated total number of sanctions related deaths
since sanctions were imposed.

Hi Hadi and others,

The most reliable estimates of excess Iraqi mortality under the sanctions
are from Unicef's 1999 child and maternal mortality survey (see
http://www.unicef.org/newsline/99pr29.htm and the Unicef section on CASI's
site at http://www.casi.org.uk/info/un.html#unicef).  These provide
mortality data in five year 'bins' and an estimate of the overall excess
deaths of children under five in Iraq between 1991 and 1998.

They say nothing about why the children have died, so cannot be used in
claims like "Sanctions have killed...".  Unicef's press release, mentioned
above, was very careful on this, quoting a Security Council panel.  They
also cannot provide meaningful monthly or daily rates into the present
because the situation in Iraq has changed since 1999, when the survey was
conducted.

The Iraqi Ministry of Health does release monthly reports on
sanctions-related deaths.  I have generally not paid close attention to
these, as I have no idea how reliable they are.  Some observers do think
that it was significant that they displayed a downturn for the first time
last year.

> iv) The number of bombing missions conducted by US forces in the No Fly
Zones since 1998.

The US and UK are careful not to call these "bombing missions".  The media
do publish lists from time to time of 'sorties' flown, but I have never kept
careful track of them.  Two UN reports from 1999 on this subject are
available on CASI's website at http://www.casi.org.uk/info/un.html#unohci.

Best wishes,

Colin Rowat

work | Room 406, Department of Economics | The University of Birmingham |
Birmingham, B15 2TT, UK | web.bham.ac.uk/c.rowat | (+44/0) 121 414 3754 |
(+44/0) 121 414 7377 (fax) | c.rowat@bham.ac.uk

personal | (+44/0) 7768 056 984 (mobile) | (+44/0) 7092 378 517 (fax) |
(707) 221 3672 (US fax) | colinrowat@yahoo.com



Also may I ask if anyone knows where I might find a copy of the full
transcript (as opposed to just media extracts) of the meeting between Saddam
Hussein and the US ambassador April Glapsie in 1991 where she famously gave
Iraq the 'green light' to invade Kuwait?

Thanks for any help you may be able to provide in advance,
Regards Hadi.


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