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News, 28/10-3/11/01 The obviously orchestrated flood of articles advocating war on Iraq continues. Iıve tried to be ruthless about cutting elements that have appeared before. Readers who feel shortchanged about this can refer to the URLs. What is most worrying is that, in and around the Kurdish autonomous zone, Turkey and Iraq are both behaving as if they expect an imminent US attack; though I note again that there seems to have been little activity over the no fly zonesı since the terrorist attacks on Afghanistan began. The overall picture of an al-Qaida/Iraqi alliance of evil forces is a little confused by the amount of material that is sloshing around implicating Saudi Arabia. The Saudis are going up in my estimation. In the simplistic, racist way in which we all tend to think about other peoples in the world, I had thought of them as a nation of dissipated hypocrites, uselessly virtuous in public, uselessly sybaritic in private. Now it appears that there is a purposeful, intelligent elite, serious about the ideals publicly proclaimed by the society and willing to put its money and energy into something other than underground swimming pools and Hollywood films. Stories about Pakistani involvement, which is obviously the most significant of all, seem to have been buried with wonderful efficiency. I remark again that the all too obvious Israeli desire to widen the war into a confrontation between the Westı and the whole Arab/Muslim world complements Osama bin Ladenıs desire to widen the war into a confrontation etc. And yet there is something unconvincing about the alternative which amounts to trying to split the Arab world at Israelıs expense. Ariel Sharonıs view that the American reaction to the activities of suicide bombers vindicates his own reaction to the activities of suicide bombers (no negotiations with those who refuse to hand the terrorists over) is, in the terms in which these people think, perfectly reasonable. But then, by the logic all these people apply, if Iraq was responsible for the WTC attacks it could legitimately plead that, considering what Iraqis have suffered at the hands of the US, it was only acting in self defence. Meanwhile the Iraqi government has come out (not for the first time) with two suggestions which, if anyone was willing to listen, could provide the programme for a really serious and worthwhile global opposition: 1) a universal treaty banning weapons of mass destruction, with all parts of the world, including the US and Israel, open to inspection. This of course has been on the cards for a while and the main obstacle has been the US. But even if the papers are signed, they may well prove to be pretty useless without 2) abolition of the Veto system in the UN Security Council and Security Council decisions to be subject to approval by the International Court of Justice at the Hague (the real one of course, not the Security Councilıs own little puppet War Crimes Tribunal for ex-Yugoslavia). Politics requires the conflict of divergent interests and views, each of them in itself totalitarianı in nature. At present the conflict between Islam and the Westı is sterile and can only result in a victory for the West, since Islam (I speak as a non-Muslim. I know many Muslims will disagree), unlike free enterpriseı or in earlier times Communism or Socialism cannot have a universal/totalitarian appeal. It would be useful to subsume this rather sterile confrontation of interests and moral ideals into a different, more widely based confrontation of interests and moral ideals. The ideal of a system of world justice above ALL the nations, including the United States, could unite a much wider opposition and would not require terrorist methods. It is a pity that at present it is only the Iraqi government who is advocating it. FINGER POINTING AT IRAQ * Every day, the case mounts against Saddam [Daily Telegraph: Islamic terrorist conference in Baghdad three weeks before September 11th anthrax brief history of training camps in Iraq Farouk Hijazi al-Ani in Prague activities since Sept 11] * No proof of Iraqi contamination * Saddam must go [The Times: Khidr Hamza Abdul Rahman Yasin (Iraqi implicated in the 1993 WTC bombing was Ramzi Yousef (convicted for the 1993 WTC bombing) an Iraqi agent? links between bin Laden and Farouk Hijazi, Iraqi ambassador to Turkey Atta in Prague SH still has biological and chemical weapons and is close to getting nuclear weapons] * The pitfalls of an attack on Iraq [A common sense reply to the above from a former British ambassador to Syria and Saudi Arabia] * What is to be done about Iraq? [Evening Standard: William Shawcross argues that any state that might possess biological weapons should be destroyed. His nerve begins to fail him, however, as he contemplates how exactly this should be achieved; and he has nothing to say about what you do once youıve succeeded in destroying the state] * Baghdad Denies Iraqi Official Met Atta [Very short extract insinuating into our minds the idea that al-Ani in Prague might have given Atta a packet of anthrax] * Stop U.S. victory says Saddam [The third of Saddam Husseinıs interesting open letters to the West since September 11. This is where he advocates a general treaty to get rid of WMDs everywhere] * Iraq smuggles agents into Germany via Prague [It would surely be surprising if they didnıt ...] * The Moment Has Arrived for America to Be Bold [Jim Hoagland says: Donıt listen to the siren voices suggesting that the US has any responsibility to reconstruct the countries it destroys. If the Afghans canıt produce a government ready to submit to the US they should be allowed to rot ...] * Saddam 'still ready to use germ warfare' [Suddenly Rolf Ekeus - remember him? - bursts upon the scene. When he still thought there was some chance of his inspection team getting into Iraq he was more circumspect about whether or not Iraq still had WMDs. But perhaps he isnıt in charge of the inspection team any more. Here he is presented as OSCE High Commissioner for Ethnic Minoritiesı. * A Lesson From Israel [This article has been popping up all over the place. It advocates the very tactic of the pre-emptive strike that the Japanese used at Pearl Harbour. It argues that had the Israeliıs not prevented Saddam from developing a nuclear bomb in 1981, there would have been no Desert Stormı. Given the appalling consequences of Desert Storm (which indirectly include the attack on the WTC) that may not have been a bad thing. The article gives, disapprovingly of course, the following perceptive quotation from the New York Times: "Even assuming that Iraq was hellbent to divert enriched uranium for the manufacture of nuclear weapons, it would have been working toward a capacity that Israel itself acquired long ago. Contrary to its official assertion, therefore, Israel was not in `mortal danger' of being outgunned. It faced a potential danger of losing its Middle East nuclear monopoly, of being deterred one day from the use of atomic weapons in war." * We should have got Saddam, says envoy {Lord Powellıs, who was M.Thatcherıs private secretary at the time. The article does not actually quote him saying what he is alleged to have said in the headline]. URLs ONLY: http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1101011105-181598,00.html * Thinking About Saddam by Michael Elliott Time magazine, 29th October [Elliottıs main argument for hesitating to attack Saddam seems to be that he may respond with biological weapons. Which amounts to saying that the development of biological weapons has been a necessity imposed on him by the situation in which, largely thanks to US policy, he finds himself] http://www.jpost.com/Editions/2001/11/01/Opinion/Opinion.37338.html * Saddam's death labs by Uri Dan Jerusalem Post, 1st November [the article argues that the fact that no link has been established is proof that there is a link, since clearly if there was a link, Saddam would be anxious to conceal it, since Obviously he doesn't want the US to destroy Iraq, as it actually deservesı (interesting little phrase, all too indicative of the current Israeli mentality). The Iraqis have shown themselves to be monsters by killing four people with anthrax so (the authorıs mouth begins to water): In the end, it is likely that the US will be forced to deploy tactical nuclear weapons of the post World War II era, in order to demonstrate to millions of fanatical Muslims that this is how their crazy terrorist campaign will endı. INSIDE IRAQ * Amnesty International Criticizes Iraq. AND, IN NEWS, 28/10-3/11/01 (2): IRAQI/INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS * Iraq lifts restrictions on Malaysians * Iraq sends requirements for wheat [to Pakistan] * Iraqi vice-president holds "positive" meeting with Algerian president * Irked U.S. Recalls Venezuela Envoy [Hugo Chavez has been expressing a sense of moral outrage at the terrorist attack on Afghanistan]. * Iraq Wishes to "Turn a New Page" in Ties With France * World Court should oversee Security Council: Iraq [see general introductory comments above] IRAQI/MIDDLE EASTERN RELATIONS * Afghans cast adrift at sea saved by Iraqis [Story of Afghans summarily expelled from Kuwait in a boat apparently just because they were Afghans. A bit like the way S.Hussein treats Kurds in Kirkuk] * Iraq Says Ready to Solve Missing Persons Issue [with Kuwait. Worth remembering here that the sticking point for resuming negotiations is still Kuwaitıs insistence, for no reason that is very clear to me, that the US and Britain should be present] * Iraq agrees to raise supply to Jordan * Iraq and UAE Sign Free Trade Agreement [Good to see that the UAE havenıt lost all their spirit since they broke diplomatic relations with the Taliban] NORTHERN IRAQ/SOUTHERN KURDISTAN * Kurds, Turkish parties meet on discussing expected attacks at Iraq [A curious article, apparently suggesting that Turkey is pressing for the establishment of a Kurdish government in Iraqi Kurdistan, under the KDP, against the opposition of the local Turkmen minority.] * Iraq Accelerates Ethnic Cleansing of Kirkuk * Kurdistan Developing Attributes Of Statehood * Iraq Masses Troops on Kurdish Areas [Apparently in expectation of an imminent, Turkish backed, invasion] OIL FOR FOOD * Iraq: UN sanctions committee approves oil prices for US market * U.N. probes Iraqi oil shipment * Iraq says OPEC indirectly financing US attacks * US-British 'smart sanctions' Iraq plan in doubt [Suggests that Russiaıs proposal for a clear timetable for the ending of sanctions as the reward for the return of weapons inspectors may, at last, be under consideration] GENERAL INTEREST * The reluctant Saudis: Royal family increasingly nervous about keeping grip on power at home [On the growth of anti-US feeling at all levels of Saudi society. Note the similarity between the statements quoted from radical Saudi clerics and those of G.Bush (youıre either with us or youıre against us ...] * Even after a savage attack, America still remains generous [Muslim living in the US points out (rightly in my view) that there has been surprisingly little anti-Muslim activity in the US since Sept 11. But he is perhaps a little naive about how benign US intentions are towards the people of Afghanistan. And is there not a contradiction between saying there is absolutely no moral equivalence between what the terrorists perpetrated and American's action abroadı and then referring to the economic sanctions that are killing thousands of Iraqi civilians every monthı. URL ONLY: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A28010-2001Nov2.html * We're Still Chasing a Criminal by Jim Hoagland Washington Post, 2nd November [Hoagland, it appears, has interviewed many feared terrorists, so he knows what heıs talking about. He sees OBL as a psychopath who finds an identity otherwise denied him in the death and destruction of others, on a massive scale. He ties it all together in a package of religious fantasy, vengeful politics and local grudges that has gathered a cult of killers around him, just as Abu Nidal concocted a half-baked Marxist spiel to cover his blood lust. It is the destruction that is attractive to bin Laden's followers and useful to his official sponsors. He too is embedded in a system that judges him neither morally nor rationally -- neither with heart nor with mind -- but fearfully and in sick anticipation.ı So all the stuff about Palestinian grievances and Iraqi children and Arab public opinion is a lot of tosh. The Arabs donıt matter. Thereıs a little bit about Iraqıs sheltering of OBLıs fellow psychopath, Abu Nidal, who, it seems, has disappeared.] FINGER POINTING AT IRAQ http://portal.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2001/10/28/waziz228. xml&sSheet=/news/2001/10/28/ixhome.html * EVERY DAY, THE CASE MOUNTS AGAINST SADDAM by Jessica Berry Daily Telegraph, 28th October THE room was full and the speeches under way when the various representatives began a resounding chant of "Allah Akhbar!" - God is great - but it was the banners that gave the strongest indication that this was no ordinary conference. They adorned the walls and set the mood in no uncertain terms: "Down with America", "Down with Israel". The annual terrorist recruitment conference in Baghdad was under way. It was just three weeks before the September 11 suicide attacks on America, and members of the world's most-wanted international terrorist groups were waiting impatiently to deliver their speeches. On the dais, beside a row of their intelligence officers, Taha Ramadan and Izzet Douri, the Iraqi vice-presidents, were seated. Before them were more than 100 Islamic terrorists, each holding a leaflet listing the groups represented. It read like a CIA document. Members of Osama bin Laden's al-Qaeda group sat side by side with those from Gamaa al Islamiya from Egypt, Jund Al Islam, an Iraqi-based terror group consisting mainly of Afghan Arabs, and Hamas and Islamic Jihad from the West Bank and Gaza. Less notable Islamic terror groups from Bangladesh, Sudan, the Philippines and Somalia were also there. Names of individuals were not given for security reasons. Many had journeyed for several days to be present. A twice-weekly ferry from the United Arab Emirates to the Iraqi port of Basra had brought some, while others had travelled by land through Syria and Jordan. All carried fake identities. For the first time in the conference's five-year history, its convenor, Saddam Hussein, had decided to invite only extremist elements. The former Algerian president and conference regular, Ben Bella, who is regarded as a moderate in Iraqi circles, was not invited. Saddam, still furious at British and American attempts to impose new sanctions on Iraq, used the August 19 meeting as an opportunity to find terrorists willing to exercise their lethal skills to foment unrest from the West Bank to Asia. He needed Muslims to unite in a common cause to protest against the regime's treatment by the West. To this end, as the ruckus emanated from the main convention suite, Iraqi intelligence officers got down to the real business in the back rooms. Here, they were hard at work recruiting potential terrorists and pinpointing potential targets for attack. Since the conference, Western intelligence officers estimate that 6,000 volunteers have been recruited to Iraq's "cause". "What really counts," one officer says, "is not what happens during the conferences. It is what happens before and after and on the sidelines that matters." [..... Neither is it a secret that Saddam has a long track record of hosting and recruiting terrorists. The 6,000 men who volunteered two months ago are now, according to intelligence officials, undergoing rigorous training in the arts of explosives and guerrilla warfare. It is understood that some of the men recruited in August are attending two of Iraq's most sophisticated camps at al Safar and al Habaniya, both beside expansive lakes. A Western intelligence official said: "These are not just places where you learn how to use a bomb or suchlike. Here, they are even taught underwater swimming, communications and how to use sophisticated eavesdropping equipment." Such "schools" for budding terrorists have a long pedigree, stretching back to the 1970s, when Iraq became the refuge of Carlos the Jackal. At that time, it was also home to the more extreme Palestinian terror groups, such as Abu Nidal and the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine, which has now claimed responsibility for the October 17 assassination of Rehavam Ze'evi, the Israeli tourism minister. It was also in the early 1970s that Saddam began to have expansionist dreams of extending Iraq's borders. In 1973, he formed the Al Hassan Ibn Al Haithem Institute, which was responsible for two programmes: nuclear energy and the manufacture of toxins and poison gases. It was the forerunner to the Military Industrialisation organisation which now develops weapons of mass destruction. It was built with funds gained from the rise in oil prices after the 1973 Arab-Israeli war. If that war provided the necessary finance, it was the Iran-Iraq war of the 1980s that provided the trigger for the birth of Islamic terror. Saddam needed support to fight Iran and he needed a new tactic. In the previous decade, terror groups had been mainly Arab. In order to compete with the Islamisation of Iran after the 1979 revolution, Saddam needed to follow suit. The first of the many Islamic terrorist groups to move to Iraq in the 1980s was the Mujahideen Helk, which was dismayed by events in Iran and vowed to fight. Not content with recruiting from only Middle Eastern organisations, Saddam also explored Muslim Africa for possibilities. He began to provide extensive funding for groups in Somalia, Zanzibar and Sudan, as well as for those nearer home in Syria. Much of the finance, again, came from his oil revenues. [.....] Now The Telegraph can reveal that similar meetings have taken place since September 11. Just one week after the attacks, Mohammed Nouri, a colonel in Iraqi intelligence, travelled to Bangkok. "He went in a great rush," says a Western intelligence officer. "We know he met an al-Qaeda representative, though we are not sure what else he has been up to." Four days later, on September 24, Brigadier Abdul Khader Majid took three senior intelligence officers with him to Bangladesh, a week before the country's general elections. "We know for certain that Iraq was instrumental in some of the worst violence ahead of the elections there," says the intelligence officer. "That includes paying recruits to organise anti Western riots, to flare up Islamic tensions. They know that the more the Muslim world protests against the Western coalition's attacks on Afghanistan, the less likely the coalition will find support to risk attacking Iraq. It would only flare Muslim tensions even more." Similar street riots took place at the same time in Jakarta and Kuala Lumpur. A week after Majid's successful mission, Lt Col Qassim made one of the Baghdad regime's most important trips since September 11. He took four junior intelligence officers to Pakistan on October 5, where they, too, met members of al-Qaeda. "The visit was an essential intelligence-sharing mission," the Western intelligence officer said. There is no doubt that Iraq has been involved in terrorism in the past. President Bush must now decide whether the evidence of Iraqi terrorist links in recent weeks still passes merely as circumstantial. As Mr Woolsey warned last week: "This war began with the direct and immediate murder of thousands of Americans, and, if we find that we have a reasonable target along with Osama bin Laden in the government of Iraq, we must wage this war quickly. We must wage it powerfully. We must wage it cleverly. And we must wage it ruthlessly." http://www.washtimes.com/national/20011029-61967644.htm * NO PROOF OF IRAQI CONTAMINATION by Bill Sammon The Washington Times, 29th October The White House yesterday disputed reports that the anthrax sent to the Senate contained bentonite, an additive that has been used in Iraqi President Saddam Hussein's biological weapons program. Top Stories "Based on the test results we have, no bentonite has been found," White House spokesman Scott Stanzel said in an interview. "As always, there will be continuing tests." Mr. Stanzel was responding to reports by ABC News and others that bentonite had been detected in the anthrax that was mailed to the office of Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle, South Dakota Democrat. The reports cited anonymous sources in the administration. But White House press secretary Ari Fleischer later told the network that tests had found no bentonite, which is used to prevent anthrax particles from sticking together so they can become airborne. He also noted that the tests detected no aluminum, which would normally be present in bentonite-enhanced anthrax. But even if bentonite is found in the anthrax, that would not necessarily mean it came from Saddam. In fact, some experts believe Iraq has developed a different strain of anthrax. And while bentonite has previously been used in Saddam's biological weapons program, it has also been used elsewhere. "Bentonite was used by the Iraqis in producing the anthrax that they produced," said Dr. David Franz, former commander of the U.S. Army's Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases. "However, bentonite is found throughout the world. Bentonite is found in the United States. It's found wherever there was ever an active volcano, probably." Speaking on ABC's "This Week," Mr. Franz added: "Bentonite is available from chemical companies, a number of them in the United States and throughout the world." [.....] On Friday, Mr. Fleischer said tests on the anthrax sent to Mr. Daschle proved that the poison could have been produced in a small laboratory by someone with a Ph.D. in microbiology. That expanded the possible perpetrators of the anthrax attacks to individuals or groups not linked to foreign governments. The presence of bentonite would not shrink the list of possible perpetrators dramatically, although the specific strain of bentonite might provide clues to investigators. "There are some interesting characteristics of bentonite," Mr. Franz said. "It's made up typically of silicon dioxide and some metal oxides. And they're in various formulations and various ratios in bentonite from various parts of the world. So there's possibly another clue." But he cautioned that even if investigators link the anthrax to a particular region of the world, that does not preclude the possibility that the anthrax was moved before being mailed to Mr. Daschle. "It's not like the bullet and rifling relationship in ballistic forensics," Mr. Franz explained. "It's not like when you have a bullet with the marks on it from a specific barrel, you've got a definitive answer. That's not the way biology works." He added: "Even if we have definitive proof that we have bentonite in a sample from the Daschle letter, in my mind, that's just another piece of the puzzle. It's not the final piece of the puzzle." [.....] http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/0,,7-2001373324,00.html * SADDAM MUST GO by Daniel Finkelstein The Times, 29th October Some of my friends think Iıve gone slightly out of my mind about Iraq. They are mostly too polite to say so, but I know what they are thinking. ³We are already bogged down in a terrible war in Afghanistan, with no end in sight, and that fool wants to start a war with Iraq.² Thatıs what they are thinking. Now, itıs true that I think the war on terrorism cannot be won without deposing Saddam Hussein, but I donıt think that makes me foolish. Then again, perhaps you think that is precisely what a fool would say. So letıs do a deal. I am going to tell you three stories. You read them, and if you still think Iım wrong at the end, I will shut up about Iraq. Letıs start with the story of Amal al-Mudarris, once the best-known personality on Baghdad radio and much admired by the educated elite. She was not, however, much admired by President Saddam Husseinıs wife. Sajida Hussein began calling the presenter, complaining that she wasnıt praising her husband often enough. One day at the radio station, after yet another crude call, al-Mudarris was chatting to some of her friends. ³That woman isnıt fit to be Iraqıs first lady,² she said. Unnoticed, one of her colleagues slipped away and phoned the Ministry of Information. Within minutes the station was surrounded and the presenter was arrested. Amal al-Mudarris was tortured until she confessed what she had said. Then she was hanged. After her execution her tongue was cut out and delivered to her family. Since it came to power, Saddamıs Baath Party is estimated to have killed 5 per cent of Iraqıs population. [.....] http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/0,,59-2001380376,00.html * THE PITFALLS OF AN ATTACK ON IRAQ from Sir Andrew Green The Times, 1st November ir, Daniel Finkelstein (Times 2, October 29) calls for Saddam to be removed, but your leading article (October 25) is absolutely right to point out the pitfalls of an attack on Iraq. Not only would the coalition dissolve but the entire Arab, and much of the Muslim, world would be infuriated. Our evidence, necessarily based on intelligence, would fail to convince the many who feel that the Iraqis have suffered enough at Western hands. The contrast with the Westıs toleration of Israelıs behaviour towards the Palestinians would be even starker. Widespread public demonstrations would be inevitable and the Saudis would certainly refuse the use of their territory as a base from which to launch an attack. Beyond that, it is hard to see a clear achievable military objective. The 1998 air offensive Desert Fox demonstrated the futility of bombing for political ends. Attempts to stir up internal opposition failed dismally in 1996 and would fail again. The opposition is divided, discredited and penetrated. The removal of Saddam or his weapons of mass destruction would involve the invasion and occupation of Iraq, requiring an army of several hundred thousand men. In the unlikely event of that being achieved, knocking out the Sunni-led army would lead, as in 1991, to a Shia uprising in the South and to Kurdish unrest in the North. Neighbours would be strongly tempted to interfere with arms and money. Turkey, Iran, Syria and Saudi Arabia would all have a vital interest in the outcome. The result would be a civil war that would make Lebanonıs troubles seem like a vicarage tea party and would be a fatal blow to our central policy objective stability in the region. The American approach is often ³can do². The British is usually ³think it through². The latter is essential if we are to avoid a situation even worse than Afghanistan. Yours sincerely, A. F. GREEN (Ambassador to Syria, 1991-94; Ambassador to Saudi Arabia, 1996-2000) http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/dynamic/news/story.html?in_review_id=469246&in _review_text_id=423188 * WHAT IS TO BE DONE ABOUT IRAQ? by William Shawcross London Evening Standard, 29th October [.....] Saddam refused to cooperate and Tariq Aziz, then his foreign minister, tried to lead a dance around the inspectors. But, using methods worthy of both Sherlock Holmes and Indiana Jones, the inspectors did find a massive amount of nuclear, chemical and biological weapons material. In 1998, Saddam threw the inspectors out. As a result sanctions have continued. Saddam has skilfully thrown the blame for the consequent suffering of the civilian population, particularly children, on the West. This is nonsense - the UN created a specific programme to allow imports for the vulnerable - Saddam has not used it properly, preferring weapons and propaganda to relieving his people. [.....] William Shawcross is on the board of the International Crisis Group and is the author of Deliver Us From Evil - Warlords, Peacekeepers and a World of Endless Conflict. http://www.reuters.com/news_article.jhtml?type=worldnews&StoryID=338934 * BAGHDAD DENIES IRAQI OFFICIAL MET ATTA Reuters, 10th November [.....] The German daily Bild reported last week that security experts in Germany were investigating whether Atta carried anthrax spores allegedly obtained from Iraq agents in Prague to the United States. [.....] http://www.reuters.co.uk/news_article.jhtml?type=worldnews&StoryID=331918 * STOP U.S. VICTORY SAYS SADDAM Reuters, 30th October BAGHDAD: President Saddam Hussein of Iraq has urged the world to prevent the United States winning its war in Afghanistan and says Washington should get rid of its weapons of mass destruction before any other country. "The world now needs to abort the aggressive U.S. schemes, including its aggression on the Afghan people, which must stop. It must not allow the U.S. to be victorious," Saddam said. He made the statement in an open letter to the West, his third since the September 11 attacks on New York's World Trade Centre and the Pentagon near Washington. The world would not be saved "from the deep abyss it is being push into by the U.S." if the United States achieved victory in Afghanistan, Saddam wrote. The United States and Britain began military strikes on Afghanistan three weeks ago after the ruling Taliban refused to surrender Osama bin Laden, chief suspect in the U.S. attacks. Saddam said the United States should be the first country to get rid of its weapons of mass destruction if it wanted to avert danger from the spread of anthrax. Other countries including Israel should follow suit. "We have heard in the news recently that American officials think that the source of anthrax is probably the U.S. itself. Hence...they should be busy in eliminating the weapons of mass destruction in the U.S. first," Saddam said. He said Iraq would join the world in signing a "binding agreement to get rid of the burden and the threat of the weapons of mass destruction. "When the U.S. is really willing to disarm itself of these weapons, we do not think that anyone of a sound mind would stay out of the framework of such a practical plan," Saddam added. The United States, which led a multinational force that ejected Iraqi troops out of Kuwait in 1991, says Iraq has been developing weapons of mass destruction since U.N. weapons inspectors had left the country in 1998. http://news.ft.com/ft/gx.cgi/ftc?pagename=View&c=Article&cid=FT3RH43KHTC&liv e=true&tagid=ZZZINS5VA0C&subheading=middle%20east%20and%20africa * IRAQ SMUGGLES AGENTS INTO GERMANY VIA PRAGUE by Hugh Williamson and Philipp Jaklin in Berlin Financial Times, 31st October Iraq has moved secret agents into Germany as part of illegal people-smuggling operations, German authorities confirmed on Wednesday. The agents had been smuggled from eastern European countries in an operation co-ordinated by Iraqi diplomats in Prague, the Czech capital. "There is evidence that Iraqis with secret service backgrounds have infiltrated Germany, helped by professional smuggling gangs," according to a spokesman for Germany's Agency for the Protection of the Constitution, Berlin's internal intelligence authority. [.....] http://www.iht.com/articles/37477.html * THE MOMENT HAS ARRIVED FOR AMERICA TO BE BOLD by Jim Hoagland International Herald tribune [from The Washington Post], 1st November [.....] Three achievable outcomes of this campaign that are within American means are now visible. First, Afghanistan should have no central government that supports or permits international terrorism. If that means Afghanistan will have no central government at all, so be it. Russia's decision last week to provide its client, the Northern Alliance, with 40 tanks and 100 armored vehicles by year's end is indicator of and catalyst for Afghanistan's fragmented future. United Nations administrators, U.S. economic aid given to Afghans who undertake anti-terrorist actions, and constant U.S. surveillance will tie a series of ethnic fiefdoms together into a self-absorbed, manageable mess. An outcome more ambitious than that would require a change in strategy and a commitment of resources that you do not seem to have yet envisioned. Second, you may well not capture bin Laden in this first armed search. Too bad. Declare right now that the American nation will treat this war criminal as Israel treated Adolf Eichmann: Bin Laden will be tracked every day of his life, however long that is. If it takes 20 years to find him and his gang, America will spend 20 years doing that. You and your successors must think of New York's Ground Zero and the Pentagon every day that you awake and learn that bin Laden and the other perpetrators have not yet been identified, captured and punished. Third, the need to deal with Iraq's continuing accumulation of biological and chemical weapons and the technology to build a nuclear bomb can in no way be lessened by the demands of the Afghan campaign. You must conduct that campaign so that you can pivot quickly from it to end the threat that Saddam Hussein's regime poses. Russia, France, Saudi Arabia and other nations warning that you cannot strike Iraq and keep their support expect to benefit economically from the survival of a Saddam-type regime when sanctions are lifted. When they become convinced that they will confront in the near future a post-Saddam government in Baghdad that will punish them for having courted Saddam, these countries will cooperate to end global terror. The conventional thinkers around you will argue that you cannot afford such boldness and clarity just now. They are wrong. U.S. leverage is at its high point while American lives are at risk and American warplanes are in the skies. No nation should expect you to pursue diplomacy as usual, or assume that it will not face your wrath in some form if it does not cooperate with you now. Can you imagine Pervez Musharraf saying to his people: I have thought it over, America is wrong and can't use our bases? And surviving? I can't. You are in a position of strength, not weakness. Show that this is not a feel-good military campaign launched in anger but a strategic struggle based on clear, achievable goals that will make the world safer. http://portal.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2001/11/01/wirq01.xm l&sSheet=/news/2001/11/01/ixhome.html * SADDAM 'STILL READY TO USE GERM WARFARE' by Bruce Johnston in Rome Daily Telegraph, 1st November SADDAM HUSSEIN still wants Iraq to become a world power and is prepared to use biological weapons to achieve that, according to the diplomat who knows his military capabilities best. Rolf Ekeus, who for six years was president of the Special UN Commission with the task of verifying that Iraq had renounced arms of mass destruction, said Saddam still wanted to dominate the Middle East. His scientists had the knowledge to help him realise his dream, said Mr Ekeus and apart from anthrax, they had found ways to isolate and develop deadly viruses. He said that while Iraq had denied having anything to do with the anthrax attacks in the US, and while the spores might have come from a Russian or American laboratory - the facts suggested that Saddam may be behind them. "For more than four years Baghdad denied, formally and in writing, the existence of a project to develop biological weapons," Mr Ekeus told an Italian newspaper. "It was only when, after inspections, research and tests, we managed to find scientific proof that there was a project after all, that they admitted its existence. "The main research centre in al Hakam was hidden in the desert, protected by fencing and walls. It was made up of a lot of buildings, with laboratories and a great deal of sophisticated equipment. "We razed it to the ground in 1996." That did not mean that Iraq's germ warfare capacity had been wiped out, he said. "In al Hakem we found a milling machine capable of refining anthrax for military purposes, and we destroyed it. But there was the suspicion that there was another which we never found. "Moreover, despite the embargo, not only does Saddam have no problems with money, but he is awash in it. And people who have no cash worries usually find a seller. "And since December 1998, when the inspections stopped, there is no one who can check and see what is going on. Not to mention research into viruses. "We found that they had experimented on camel pox, a sickness of camels similar to smallpox. Another project that greatly interested them was the poisoning of lakes and aquaducts." Asked if bin laden and Saddam could be working together, Mr Ekeus said that the two men had "clearly different objectives". But he added: "Let's not forget the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact. Stalin and Hitler had diametrically opposed strategic objectives, but that did not stop them becoming allies in 1939, because at that time they shared certain tactical objectives. "Bin Laden and Hussein are both at war with America, and they share the same immediate objective. To drive the Americans out of the Gulf. And on this point, Saddam said exactly the same thing as bin Laden. Word for word." Mr Ekeus, now the OSCE High Commissioner for Ethnic Minorities, said: "Saddam continues to repeat that he is the one who is winning. And I think that for him, things are actually going rather well. In the streets of Arab countries he is becoming ever more popular." http://www.ctnow.com/news/opinion/op_ed/hc willsyndcolthursopednov1.artnov01.story?coll=hc%2Dheadlines%2Doped * A LESSON FROM ISRAEL by George F. Will Hartford Courant (also in Wash Post, NY Post, and much else besides), 1st November When Israeli Foreign Minister Shimon Peres, accompanied by Ambassador David Ivry, recently visited the Oval Office, President Bush remarked that Israel certainly has the right ambassador for the moment. He said this because Ivry has shown that he understands how preventive action is pertinent to the problem of weapons of mass destruction in dangerous hands. Bush's remark, pregnant with implications, revealed that the president as well as the vice president remember and admire a bold Israeli action for which Israel was roundly condemned 20 years ago. On the afternoon of June 7, 1981, Jordan's King Hussein, yachting in the Gulf of Aqaba, saw eight low-flying Israeli F-16s roar eastward. He called military headquarters in Amman for information, but got none. The aircraft had flown below Jordanian radar. So far, so good for Ivry's mission, code-named Opera. Ivry, a short, balding grandfatherly figure with a gray moustache, was then commander of Israel's air force, which had acquired some of the 75 F-16s ordered by Iran from the United States but not delivered because of the 1979 revolution that toppled the shah. The F-16s were to be tested to their limits when Israel learned that Iraq was about to receive a shipment of enriched uranium for its reactor near Baghdad - enough uranium to build four or five Hiroshima-size bombs. The reactor was 600 miles from Israel. Ensuring that the F-16s had the range to return to base required the dangerous expedient of topping off the fuel tanks on the runway, while the engines were running. Measures were taken to reduce the air drag of the planes' communications pods and munitions racks. Prime Minister Menachem Begin ordered the attack to occur before the uranium arrived and the reactor went "hot," at which point bombing would have scattered radioactive waste over Baghdad. The raid was scheduled for a Sunday, to minimize casualties. It was executed perfectly. Aren't we glad. Now. The U.S. State Department said Israel's destruction of the reactor jeopardized the "peace process" of the day, said relations with Israel were being "reassessed," canceled meetings with Israeli officials and suspended deliveries of military equipment, including F-16s, pending a decision about whether Israel had violated the restriction that weapons obtained from America could be used only for defensive purposes. The New York Times said Israel had embraced "the code of terror" and that the raid was "inexcusable and short-sighted aggression." The Times added this remarkable thought: "Even assuming that Iraq was hellbent to divert enriched uranium for the manufacture of nuclear weapons, it would have been working toward a capacity that Israel itself acquired long ago. Contrary to its official assertion, therefore, Israel was not in `mortal danger' of being outgunned. It faced a potential danger of losing its Middle East nuclear monopoly, of being deterred one day from the use of atomic weapons in war." Today on Ivry's embassy office wall, there is a large black-and-white photograph taken by satellite 10 years after the raid, at the time of the Gulf War. It shows the wreckage of the huge reactor complex, which is still surrounded by a high, thick wall that was supposed to protect it. Trees are growing where the reactor dome had been. The picture has this handwritten inscription. "For Gen. David Ivry, with thanks and appreciation for the outstanding job he did on the Iraqi nuclear program in 1981- which made our job much easier in Desert Storm." The author of the inscription signed it: "Dick Cheney, Sec. of Defense 1989-93." Were it not for Israel's raid, Iraq probably would have had nuclear weapons in 1991 and there would have been no Desert Storm. The fact that Bush and Cheney are keenly appreciative of what Ivry and Israel's air force accomplished is welcome evidence of two things: In spite of the secretary of state's coalition fetish, the administration understands the role of robust unilateralism. And neither lawyers citing "international law" nor diplomats invoking "world opinion" will prevent America from acting as Israel did, pre-emptively in self defense. http://portal.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2001/11/03/npow03.xm l&sSheet=/news/2001/11/03/ixhome.html * WE SHOULD HAVE GOT SADDAM, SAYS ENVOY by Rachel Sylvester Daily Telegraph, 3rd November TONY BLAIR'S new envoy to Syria believes that Iraq is involved in the terrorist war being waged against the West and that it was a mistake not to topple Saddam Hussein at the end of the Gulf war. In an interview with The Telegraph, Lord Powell, who travelled to Damascus last month with a message from the Prime Minister for President Assad, said it was "wholly credible" to suppose that Iraq was giving covert support to Osama bin Laden and his terrorist network. "My instinct is that Iraq is involved in some way, but I have absolutely no evidence for that other than the deepest possible suspicion," he said. The anthrax attacks on the United States were particularly worrying, he added. Lord Powell, who, as Charles Powell was Margaret Thatcher's private secretary during the Gulf crisis, said that toppling Saddam would have been a "massive task". "Look at how difficult it is to get rid of the Taliban and think of that cubed", he said. INSIDE IRAQ http://members.home.net/kurdistanobserver/2-11-01-rfe-amnesty-criticizes-irq .html * Amnesty International Criticizes Iraq. by: David Nissman Kurdistan Observer, 2nd November Amnesty International's annual report on Iraq this year concludes that "hundreds of people, among them political prisoners including possible prisoners of conscience, were executed. Hundreds of suspected political opponents, including army officers suspected of planning to overthrow the government, were arrested, and their fate and whereabouts remained unknown." And it adds that new punishments have been introduced, including beheading and amputation of the tongue. Also noted in the AI report was the large-scale application of the death penalty, the extra judicial executions (especially the beheading of women accused of prostitution in Baghdad under the supervision of the Ba'th Party and the Iraqi Women's General Union), the widespread use of torture, the arrests of suspected political opponents, and the forcible expulsion of Kurds, Turkmens, and Assyrians from the Kirkuk region. In April of this year, the UN Commission on Human Rights adopted a resolution condemning the "systematic, widespread, and extremely grave violations of human rights and international humanitarian law by the government of Iraq." Moreover, the UN extended the mandate for the Special Rapporteur on Human Rights in Iraq for another year. The Iraqi government has not yet responded to Amnesty International's report. -- ----------------------------------------------------------------------- This is a discussion list run by the Campaign Against Sanctions on Iraq For removal from list, email soc-casi-discuss-request@lists.cam.ac.uk CASI's website - www.casi.org.uk - includes an archive of all postings.