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News 3rd to 11th Feb



this is a summary of events- I have only used one paper, the GUardian, due
to time restraints...


3/2/98
USA/GB                  
claim Iraq will let UNSCOM into 8 palaces
Iraq                            
deny this
Russia                  
say SH will talk to Butler/UNSCOM
Iraq                            
deny this
USA                             
does not want this talk to take place
anyway. Says they will support UN proposal
to inc oil for food from $2bn   to $5.2bn. trying 
to get Turkish support for air strike.

4/2/98
Arab League                     
criticise USA/GB
Iraq                            
talking with Kofi Annan
GB                              
want SH “dealt with”
Jordan/Kuwait/Bahrain   
pursuaded to blame Iraq for impasse
Saudi Arabia                    
will not let US use their air bases
GB                              
seeking to get UN to make resolution that
Iraq will be attacked if it does not comply
US                              
prepared to attck without new resolution
Chief Humanitarian Officer of UN,
 DennisHalliday- agrees that even if Baghdad agrees
to new food for oil deal, it will take time to
end malnutrition. Situation is  worse than one
year ago. Threat of strikes is affecting UN monitoring of food for oil. 
Iraq                            
says food for oil is plot to milk its oil
resources. food for oil increase also increases
reparation costs

5/2/98
UNSCOM                  
admits to not knowing where the weapons stores are
Egypt                           
says Iraq has agreed to a compromisew/UNSCOM
UNSCOM  
rejects this, not enough to inspect some of some
sites

6/2/98
Russia/France/China             
will block attempts by USA
GB                              
hint action will take place nr 14th Feb
USA                     
sending more military forces
believes it needs no further legal
justification or Security Council resolution. 
GB trying to draft a resolution to overcome
this
Iraq                            
releases all Arabs from its jails
Saudi Arabia                    
conditional support for strikes
Kuwait                  
full backing for strikes
Cook                            
“Iraq is a lively coalition of different
groups. If there is a vaccuum- in a way that frankly we might
welcome- there could be consequences for the break up of
Iraq” later modifies this- wants Iraq to stay a single
state but who knows the consequences of military action?
Russia                  
attempts at negocitiaions

7/2/98
Saddam                  
offers inspections compromises
France                  
Iraq should be able to pump more oil
Jordan/Iran/Syria               
won’t let air bases be used
Germany                 
will let air bases be used
Turkey                  
anti air strikes, has lost money coz of sanctions

8/2/98
Clinton/Blair                   
admit that strike will mean end of access
for weapons inspections. also that fall of SH
isn’t a specific war aim
GB 
postponing attempts to get UN sanction to back strike
Clinton 
admits SH regime will survive bombing

a European diplomat
“a battered Iraq is a weak Iraq which
knows that the only 
way it is going to get the sanctions
lifted is to comply with the rules and with UNSCOM” 
Australia
wavering on side of USA/GB

9/2/98
Russia          
claims substantial progress in negociations with
Iraq. also wants sanctions lifted

11/2/98
Kofi Annan
urges all sides to drop purist or
fundamentalist positions.
suggests greater flexibility in UNSCOM negociations Iraq in a corner, need
to negociate out of it without humiliating them
USA/GB  
no question of watering down UNSCOM aims.
Israel  
confirm that SH has told them he has neither intention nor ability to
attack
Israel.
Russian-Arab Plan 
calls for demotion of Richard Butler
GB and JAPAN
pushing new resolution to back military strikes
Egypt
suggest attack would spark wave of arab nationalism
Canada and Australia
sending military assistance to Gulf



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