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[casi-analysis] casi-news digest, Vol 1 #165 - 2 msgs



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Articles for inclusion in this daily news mailing should be sent to newsclippings@casi.org.uk. 
Please include a full reference to the source of the article.

Today's Topics:

   1. Fwd:  A New Course in Iraq (CharlieChimp1@aol.com)
   2. Let's pretend it's a free and fair election (CharlieChimp1@aol.com)

--__--__--

Message: 1
From: CharlieChimp1@DELETETHISaol.com
Date: Sun, 12 Dec 2004 03:26:12 EST
Subject: Fwd:  A New Course in Iraq
To: casi-analysis@lists.casi.org.uk


[ Presenting plain-text part of multi-format email ]


In a message dated 12/12/04 08:16:34 GMT Standard Time,  kelebdooni@yahoo.c=
om
writes:

By Erik Leaver |  December 10, 2004
Editor: John Gershman, Interhemispheric Resource Center  (_IRC_
(http://www.irc-online.org/) )
Foreign  Policy In Focus

As many members  of Congress and President George W. Bush=E2=80=99s adminis=
tration
argue that  it=E2=80=99s unacceptable to leave Iraq as a failed state, it b=
ecomes
clearer  every day that U.S. operations and policies are fueling violence a=
nd
instability. It=E2=80=99s time for the government to directly confront the =
 question of how
to fulfill U.S. obligations under international law,  restore basic securit=
y,
and responsibly withdraw U.S. forces.
Central to this  point, Washington must not simply abandon the Iraqi people
to the chaos  it has created. But the U.S. needs to accept the fact that
continued  military occupation by the U.S. will only cause more casualties,=
 foster
division in the country, and keep reconstruction from  advancing.
In the six  months since the transition to Iraqi sovereignty officially got
underway  on June 28, 2004, the human cost of the U.S. occupation of that
country  has risen dramatically. U.S. military deaths have topped 1,200. A =
study
published in The Lancet has estimated that 100,000 Iraqis have  died as a
result of war and conditions under occupation. Norwegian  researchers, the =
United
Nations, and the Iraqi government recently  reported that malnutrition amon=
g
the youngest children in Iraq has  nearly doubled since the U.S.-led invasi=
on of
that country. And soaring  rates of disease and a crippled health system ar=
e
threatening to kill  more than have died in the aftermath of the war.
This dynamic is  unlikely to change in the near term. The Bush administrati=
on=E2=80=99
s stated  two-pronged plan of staging elections and putting Iraqis in charg=
e
of  their own security is clearly the right objective. But on the ground  t=
his
is failing for a variety of reasons. Iraqi elections held under  U.S.
military occupation and under election rules written by the U.S  will lack =
legitimacy
both inside and outside Iraq. Furthermore, the lack  of UN election experts
on the ground, coupled with continued fighting,  and the fact that any poll=
ing
location guarded by U.S. troops will be a  military target, means free and
fair elections can=E2=80=99t take place as  scheduled in January.
Iraqis need to  be in charge of their own security. But the Iraqi police an=
d
National  Guard have largely failed to provide security for the Iraqi peopl=
e
and  the situation appears to be only worsening. Iraq=E2=80=99s security fo=
rces are
fighting in a war that puts anyone who is physically near or associated  wi=
th
the U.S. occupation at risk. At the same time, soldiers and police  officer=
s
lack adequate training. One measure of the problem can be seen  in their de=
ath
toll. Over 1,500 Iraqi security force recruits and 750  Iraqi police office=
rs
have been killed. Iraqi security forces can=E2=80=99t  succeed as long as t=
he U.S. is
leading a war on the ground in  Iraq.
As Larry  Diamond, who worked as a senior adviser to the Coalition
Provisional  Authority, has noted, =E2=80=9CThere are really no good option=
s,=E2=80=9D at this point.
But there are better options than the policies being currently pursued.  Th=
e
following five steps would lessen the violence and insecurity in  Iraq:
1)  Decrease U.S. troops and end offensive operations: As  a first step to
withdrawal, the U.S. should declare an immediate  cease-fire and reduce the
number of troops deployed in Iraq. Instead,  the Bush administration has do=
ne the
opposite, increasing the number of  troops stationed there by 12,000.
Increased offensive operations will  only escalate the violence and make Ir=
aq less
secure and less safe. The  U.S. should pull troops out of major cities so t=
hat
greater manpower can  be directed to guarding the borders to stem the flow =
of
foreign fighters  and money being used to fund the resistance. If Iraqi sec=
urity
forces  need assistance maintaining order, they have the option of inviting
in  regional forces, as proposed by Saudi Arabia. They could also reinstate
the former Iraqi army, which was well-trained, after purging upper-level  S=
addam
supporters and providing additional counterinsurgency training to  deal wit=
h
the current war. Once implemented, these measures would allow  for total
withdrawal of U.S. forces.
2)  Declare that the U.S. has no intention to maintain  a permanent or
long-term military presence or bases in Iraq .  Congress needs to make clea=
r that it
is committed to the principle of  responsible withdrawal of all U.S. troops
from Iraq. By making this  statement through a congressional resolution, th=
e
U.S. would openly  acknowledge that it has no interest in controlling Middl=
e
Eastern oil or  in suppressing Muslims, hence depriving insurgents of their
central  organizing message. Without such a resolution, Iraqis have little =
reason
to believe that our present actions are nothing greater than a plan to
establish a long-term military presence in Iraq and make the occupation  a =
permanent
feature of Iraqi life.
3) Do  more to restore services: Moving control of reconstruction from the
Defense Department to the State Department has been a positive step as  it
removes an agency designed to fight war from the much different task  of na=
tion
building. But a much stronger statement to the Iraqi people  would be to go=
 even
further and give Iraqis direct authority over  reconstruction funding. The
U.S. government and its contractors have  failed to restore public services=
 and
public safety, strengthen  institutions, or provide jobs. Meanwhile, billio=
ns
of appropriated  dollars remain unspent. By giving Iraqis control over
reconstruction  funds more Iraqis will get jobs and projects will be better=
 targeted
to  the needs of Iraqis. And lowering the unemployment rate will weaken the
potential for recruitment into the insurgency.
4)  Postpone national elections and hold elections for provincial
governments: Given that war is raging in most of Iraq=E2=80=99s Sunni  regi=
ons, prospects for
free and fair elections in January are dim. Given  the reality on the groun=
d,
the U.S. should call for a delay of national  elections while helping Iraqi=
s
hold elections for local governments.  Local governments should be given th=
e
power so far denied to Iraqis.  They need budget oversight and dedicated fu=
nding
derived from the  country's oil exports. Additionally, they need the author=
ity
to work  with Iraqi ministries to assess local needs, decide which
reconstruction  efforts should get priority, and deliver services. They wou=
ld also have
an oversight role for expenditures. Once provincial elections are  complete=
d,
illustrating that the U.S. is willing to cede power, and a  guarantee that
Sunnis will be included in the political process is in  place, national ele=
ctions
will become more viable.
5)  Impose conditions on U.S. spending for the  Iraq War: To date the U.S.
has spent $151 billion on  the Iraq War. It=E2=80=99s important to support =
the troops,
but a recent  exchange between Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld and the
troops  illustrated the safety of the troops has not been Washington=E2=80=
=99s primary
concern. Congress should exercise its prerogative in shaping U.S. policy  i=
n
Iraq by tying a forthcoming supplemental spending bill now rumored to  be
between $70-100 billion to the previous four points. At the same  time, law=
makers
should put the brakes on the rampant war profiteering  that has caused
widespread waste, fraud, and abuse. To do this, the U.S.  must stop awardin=
g no-bid
contracts and open-ended, =E2=80=9Ccost-plus,=E2=80=9D  multi-billion dolla=
r contracts such as
those awarded to Halliburton and  Bechtel and increase oversight over the
military and its contractors.  Finally, the U.S. should cancel previously a=
warded
contracts to  companies whose workforces don=E2=80=99t have a majority of  =
Iraqis.
The current U.S.  approach in Iraq is too costly in human and financial ter=
ms
to Americans  at home, our troops abroad, and to the very people this war w=
as
supposed  to liberate. More importantly, it isn=E2=80=99t improving Iraq=E2=
=80=99s stability
or  security. These five steps represent an ambitious new direction for the
United States and for the Iraqi people.
Erik Leaver  is the policy outreach director for the Foreign Policy In Focu=
s
(_http://www.fpif.org/_ (http://www.fpif.org/) ) project at the  Institute
for Policy Studies (_http://www.ips-dc.org/_ (http://www.ips-dc.org/) ). He=
's
one of the  authors of a recently released IPS and FPIF report titled "A Fa=
iled
'Transition': The Mounting Costs of the Iraq  War."
posted Saturday, 11 December 2004
_http://mparent7777.blog-city.com/read/954062.htm_
(http://mparent7777.blog-city.com/read/954062.htm)




Comment: DomainKeys? See http://antispam.yahoo.com/domainkeys
DomainKey-Signature: a=3Drsa-sha1; q=3Ddns; c=3Dnofws;
    s=3Ds1024; d=3Dyahoo.com;
    b=3DpvN5Ed489vpCSgGd07dKDNR68rkMyGE1gWazmmNDZcHX/HBt84gYvweG5khat+hnAFP=
L77UOnkfJ1RdLKLkN7QziEhAflgb5v665LItUcr35FowC1b04xfVkHv3B/3AkczieYsS9Fj9/8P=
jdebVoMXCypoWohf+FEI6RJeoNJ5g=3D  ;
To: anti-allawi-group@yahoogroups.com
From: ahmed Al-Habbabi <kelebdooni@yahoo.com>
Mailing-List: list anti-allawi-group@yahoogroups.com; contact anti-allawi-g=
roup-owner@yahoogroups.com
Delivered-To: mailing list anti-allawi-group@yahoogroups.com
Precedence: bulk
Date: Sun, 12 Dec 2004 00:15:04 -0800 (PST)
Subject: [anti-allawi-group] A New Course in Iraq
Reply-To: anti-allawi-group@yahoogroups.com
X-Plaintext: Presenting plain-text part of multi-format email


[ Presenting plain-text part of multi-format email ]



By Erik Leaver | December 10, 2004

Editor: John Gershman, Interhemispheric Resource Center (IRC)






Foreign Policy In Focus



As many members of Congress and President George W. Bush=92s administration=
 argue that it=92s unacceptable to leave Iraq as a failed state, it becomes=
 clearer every day that U.S. operations and policies are fueling violence a=
nd instability. It=92s time for the government to directly confront the que=
stion of how to fulfill U.S. obligations under international law, restore b=
asic security, and responsibly withdraw U.S. forces.

Central to this point, Washington must not simply abandon the Iraqi people =
to the chaos it has created. But the U.S. needs to accept the fact that con=
tinued military occupation by the U.S. will only cause more casualties, fos=
ter division in the country, and keep reconstruction from advancing.

In the six months since the transition to Iraqi sovereignty officially got =
underway on June 28, 2004, the human cost of the U.S. occupation of that co=
untry has risen dramatically. U.S. military deaths have topped 1,200. A stu=
dy published in The Lancet has estimated that 100,000 Iraqis have died as a=
 result of war and conditions under occupation. Norwegian researchers, the =
United Nations, and the Iraqi government recently reported that malnutritio=
n among the youngest children in Iraq has nearly doubled since the U.S.-led=
 invasion of that country. And soaring rates of disease and a crippled heal=
th system are threatening to kill more than have died in the aftermath of t=
he war.

This dynamic is unlikely to change in the near term. The Bush administratio=
n=92s stated two-pronged plan of staging elections and putting Iraqis in ch=
arge of their own security is clearly the right objective. But on the groun=
d this is failing for a variety of reasons. Iraqi elections held under U.S.=
 military occupation and under election rules written by the U.S will lack =
legitimacy both inside and outside Iraq. Furthermore, the lack of UN electi=
on experts on the ground, coupled with continued fighting, and the fact tha=
t any polling location guarded by U.S. troops will be a military target, me=
ans free and fair elections can=92t take place as scheduled in January.

Iraqis need to be in charge of their own security. But the Iraqi police and=
 National Guard have largely failed to provide security for the Iraqi peopl=
e and the situation appears to be only worsening. Iraq=92s security forces =
are fighting in a war that puts anyone who is physically near or associated=
 with the U.S. occupation at risk. At the same time, soldiers and police of=
ficers lack adequate training. One measure of the problem can be seen in th=
eir death toll. Over 1,500 Iraqi security force recruits and 750 Iraqi poli=
ce officers have been killed. Iraqi security forces can=92t succeed as long=
 as the U.S. is leading a war on the ground in Iraq.

As Larry Diamond, who worked as a senior adviser to the Coalition Provision=
al Authority, has noted, =93There are really no good options,=94 at this po=
int. But there are better options than the policies being currently pursued=
. The following five steps would lessen the violence and insecurity in Iraq=
:

1) Decrease U.S. troops and end offensive operations: As a first step to wi=
thdrawal, the U.S. should declare an immediate cease-fire and reduce the nu=
mber of troops deployed in Iraq. Instead, the Bush administration has done =
the opposite, increasing the number of troops stationed there by 12,000. In=
creased offensive operations will only escalate the violence and make Iraq =
less secure and less safe. The U.S. should pull troops out of major cities =
so that greater manpower can be directed to guarding the borders to stem th=
e flow of foreign fighters and money being used to fund the resistance. If =
Iraqi security forces need assistance maintaining order, they have the opti=
on of inviting in regional forces, as proposed by Saudi Arabia. They could =
also reinstate the former Iraqi army, which was well-trained, after purging=
 upper-level Saddam supporters and providing additional counterinsurgency t=
raining to deal with the current war. Once implemented, these measures woul=
d allow for total
 withdrawal of U.S. forces.

2) Declare that the U.S. has no intention to maintain a permanent or long-t=
erm military presence or bases in Iraq . Congress needs to make clear that =
it is committed to the principle of responsible withdrawal of all U.S. troo=
ps from Iraq. By making this statement through a congressional resolution, =
the U.S. would openly acknowledge that it has no interest in controlling Mi=
ddle Eastern oil or in suppressing Muslims, hence depriving insurgents of t=
heir central organizing message. Without such a resolution, Iraqis have lit=
tle reason to believe that our present actions are nothing greater than a p=
lan to establish a long-term military presence in Iraq and make the occupat=
ion a permanent feature of Iraqi life.

3) Do more to restore services: Moving control of reconstruction from the D=
efense Department to the State Department has been a positive step as it re=
moves an agency designed to fight war from the much different task of natio=
n building. But a much stronger statement to the Iraqi people would be to g=
o even further and give Iraqis direct authority over reconstruction funding=
. The U.S. government and its contractors have failed to restore public ser=
vices and public safety, strengthen institutions, or provide jobs. Meanwhil=
e, billions of appropriated dollars remain unspent. By giving Iraqis contro=
l over reconstruction funds more Iraqis will get jobs and projects will be =
better targeted to the needs of Iraqis. And lowering the unemployment rate =
will weaken the potential for recruitment into the insurgency.

4) Postpone national elections and hold elections for provincial government=
s: Given that war is raging in most of Iraq=92s Sunni regions, prospects fo=
r free and fair elections in January are dim. Given the reality on the grou=
nd, the U.S. should call for a delay of national elections while helping Ir=
aqis hold elections for local governments. Local governments should be give=
n the power so far denied to Iraqis. They need budget oversight and dedicat=
ed funding derived from the country's oil exports. Additionally, they need =
the authority to work with Iraqi ministries to assess local needs, decide w=
hich reconstruction efforts should get priority, and deliver services. They=
 would also have an oversight role for expenditures. Once provincial electi=
ons are completed, illustrating that the U.S. is willing to cede power, and=
 a guarantee that Sunnis will be included in the political process is in pl=
ace, national elections will become more viable.

5) Impose conditions on U.S. spending for the Iraq War: To date the U.S. ha=
s spent $151 billion on the Iraq War. It=92s important to support the troop=
s, but a recent exchange between Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld and t=
he troops illustrated the safety of the troops has not been Washington=92s =
primary concern. Congress should exercise its prerogative in shaping U.S. p=
olicy in Iraq by tying a forthcoming supplemental spending bill now rumored=
 to be between $70-100 billion to the previous four points. At the same tim=
e, lawmakers should put the brakes on the rampant war profiteering that has=
 caused widespread waste, fraud, and abuse. To do this, the U.S. must stop =
awarding no-bid contracts and open-ended, =93cost-plus,=94 multi-billion do=
llar contracts such as those awarded to Halliburton and Bechtel and increas=
e oversight over the military and its contractors. Finally, the U.S. should=
 cancel previously awarded contracts to companies whose workforces don=92t =
have a majority of Iraqis.

The current U.S. approach in Iraq is too costly in human and financial term=
s to Americans at home, our troops abroad, and to the very people this war =
was supposed to liberate. More importantly, it isn=92t improving Iraq=92s s=
tability or security. These five steps represent an ambitious new direction=
 for the United States and for the Iraqi people.

Erik Leaver is the policy outreach director for the Foreign Policy In Focus=
 (http://www.fpif.org/) project at the Institute for Policy Studies (http:/=
/www.ips-dc.org/). He's one of the authors of a recently released IPS and F=
PIF report titled "A Failed 'Transition': The Mounting Costs of the Iraq Wa=
r."



posted Saturday, 11 December 2004

http://mparent7777.blog-city.com/read/954062.htm





---------------------------------
Do you Yahoo!?
 Meet the all-new My Yahoo! =96 Try it today!



--__--__--

Message: 2
From: CharlieChimp1@DELETETHISaol.com
Date: Mon, 13 Dec 2004 20:15:27 EST
Subject: Let's pretend it's a free and fair election
To: AlAwda@yahoogroups.com, newsclippings@casi.org.uk,
        Intelligentminds@yahoogroups.com


[ Presenting plain-text part of multi-format email ]


Controversial  U.S. Groups Operate Behind Scenes on Iraq Vote

Lisa  Ashkenaz Croke and Brian Dominick, The  NewStandard.


Washington-funded organizations are hard at work providing  assistance to
political campaigns in the lead up to next month=E2=80=99s  nationwide elec=
tions, but
critics suggest their participation is anything  but benevolent.



December 13, 2004 -- Even as the White  House decries the ominous prospect =
of
Iranian influence on the upcoming  Iraqi national elections, US-funded
organizations with long records of  manipulating foreign democracies in the
direction of Washington's  interests are quietly but deeply involved in ess=
entially
every aspect of  the upcoming Iraqi elections.

"As should be clear, the electoral  process will be an Iraqi process
conducted by Iraqis for Iraqis," declared  United Nations special envoy, As=
hraf
Jehangir Qazi, in a September 14  statement to the Security Council. "It ca=
nnot be
anything else."

But in actuality, influential, US-financed agencies describing  themselves =
as
"pro-democracy" but viewed by critics as decidedly  anti-democratic, have
their hands all over Iraq's transitional process,  from the formation of
political parties to monitoring the January 30  nationwide polls and possib=
ly
conducting exit polls that could be used to  evaluate the fairness of the
ballot-casting.

Two such groups --  the National Democratic Institute for International
Affairs (NDI) and the  International Republican Institute (IRI) -- are part=
 of a
consortium of  non-governmental organizations to which the United States ha=
s
provided  over $80 million for political and electoral activities in post-S=
addam
Iraq.

Both groups publicly assert they are nonpartisan, but each  has extremely
close ties to its namesake American political party, and  both are deeply p=
artial
to the perceived national interests of their home  country, despite
substantial involvement in the politics of numerous  sovereign nations worl=
dwide.

NDI is headed by former Secretary of  State Madeline Albright, who took ove=
r
the chair from former president  Jimmy Carter. Republican Senator John McCa=
in
chairs IRI. Both groups have  highly controversial reputations and are
described throughout much of the  world as either helpful, meddlesome, or d=
ownright
subversive, depending on  who you ask. In some places their work has earned
praise from independent  grassroots democracy advocates, but in many Third =
World
republics, both  groups have been tied to alleged covert plans to install
US-favored  governments.

The groups' separate but overlapping mandates in Iraq  include educating
Iraqis on the democratic process, training Iraqi  organizations to monitor =
the
elections and deal with electoral conflicts,  and providing impartial advic=
e and
training to political parties,  according to the US Agency for Internationa=
l
Development (USAID), the  official governmental organ funding the consortiu=
m's
operations in Iraq.  USAID contracts with and provides grants to private
organizations that  uphold its objectives, which include, according to the =
Agency's
own  literature, "furthering America's foreign policy interests in expandin=
g
democracy and free markets while improving the lives of citizens in the
developing world."

Far from the United Nations' mission to oversee  the election process itsel=
f,
the American groups are actively engaged in  cultivating political parties,
and IRI appears to be working most heavily  with parties and politicians
favored by Washington.

Critics have  expressed alarm, if not surprise, that policies carried out i=
n
other  countries over the past two decades appear to be repeating in occupi=
ed
Iraq. "USAID has learned that 'legitimat=C3=A8 leaders are not just found,
they're made," wrote Herbert Docena, a research associate specializing in  =
Iraq at
the Bangkok-based activist think tank, Focus on the Global South.  "Before =
the
US withdraws from the scene, it first has to ensure that its  Iraqis will k=
now
what to do."

According to Docena, USAID's  activity in Iraq, as carried out by
non-governmental proxies, is drawn  straight out of the Agency's handbook, =
which
advocates "capitalizing on  national openings" and "[taking] advantage of
national-level targets of  opportunity" as they emerge, all while looking f=
or a "strategic
doorway"  -- called an "entry point" -- that enables an Agency project to
"anchor  its program and optimize overall impact" in a target area.

"In  Iraq, the 'entry point' was the invasion," Docena explained. "The
'national opening' was the collapsed state left in its wake."

In  October, Reuters obtained documents from the US State Department
suggesting that the parties benefiting from US support of the Iraqi  politi=
cal
process would be limited to those considered by the US to be  "democratic o=
r
moderate," and that the Department was spending $1 million  on polling to d=
etermine
"which candidates and parties are attracting the  most support from the Ira=
qi
people."

According to the documents,  Washington will provide "strategic advice,
technical assistance, training,  polling data, assistance, and other forms =
of
support" to "moderate,  democratically oriented political parties."

Such US-backed groups,  including the Islamic Dawa Party and the Supreme
Council for the Islamic  Revolution (SCIRI), which now dominate the 100-mem=
ber
National Council  selected amid controversy last August, participated in a =
series
of six  "training conferences" hosted by IRI this June.

According to IRI's  website, the prominent parties were joined at the
training by dozens of  small and medium-sized organizations. "Topics ranged=
 from
candidate  leadership skills to platform development," reads the group's re=
port,
"thus offering emerging Iraqi civic and political organizations a chance  t=
o
learn a full array of successful campaign techniques. Results were  promisi=
ng
-- participants expressed great enthusiasm during the  proceedings and many
actively pursued closer working relationships with  the Institute."

Representatives of IRI would not speak with TNS on  the record, but the
group's website page on Iraq -- which does not appear  to have been updated=
 since
early summer -- suggests IRI was involved in  organizing last August's Nati=
onal
Conference, purportedly held to elect an  interim assembly that would overs=
ee
Iraq's current interim government.  That event was widely viewed as a
calamity, not least because no vote ever  took place. IRI would not comment=
 on its
involvement in the Conference or  even evaluate its success on the record.

Other IRI programs have  employed a "top-down approach," the group's websit=
e
states, providing  instruction specifically for Iraq's interim governing
bodies, from the  original Governing Council to the present administration.=
 Such a
policy  would appear to offer those already in power, mostly US-backed
parties, a  disproportionate share of IRI's resources and a precedent of in=
volvement
not shared with Iraq's fledgling opposition parties.

IRI's  relationship with parties dominating Iraq's interim government begs
the  question of how much influence the American group has had in determini=
ng
the makeup of current coalitions being formed to vie for the 275-seat  Nati=
onal
Assembly come January 30, which will in turn select a new  government and
write Iraq's permanent constitution.

Unlike its  counterpart, NDI spoke at length with The NewStandard. Insistin=
g
that  NDI's advice does not favor any of Iraq's numerous political parties
over  any others, Les Campbell, the organization's regional director for th=
e
Middle East and Africa, said, "We work with all the parties, including the =
 big
and well-known ones, but we actually =E2=80=A6 spend special efforts to fin=
d,  for
example, Sunni parties -- ones that might represent the Sunni  population."

Campbell estimated that NDI's contributions are  probably disproportionatel=
y
helpful to the more obscure, less experienced  Iraqi parties -- the ones th=
at
need assistance at nearly every level. "We  have spent special effort tryin=
g
to find people and parties that might  reflect the views of the urban, sort=
 of
secular intellectuals," Campbell  said, "because we think that they are
disadvantaged."

Nevertheless, Campbell was careful to point out that NDI  officially has no
interest in the outcome of the Iraqi elections. "I have  no idea, and nor d=
o we
ever really worry about whether or not our  assistance has any affect on th=
e
[elections'] outcome," he said. "We're  not even slightly outcome-oriented.=
"

Both NDI and IRI say they are  maintaining low profiles in Iraq primarily f=
or
the security of their staff  and the Iraqis to whom they provide political
assistance. But Campbell  said there are other reasons, at least for NDI, t=
hat
they do not stand out  as a defining feature of the transition to democracy=
 in
Iraq. "We're not  an organization that generally seeks credit," Campbell
insisted. "We  always perceive ourselves to be standing behind and supporti=
ng
people.  We're not trying to lead the parade anywhere; and we're certainly =
not
trying to lead the parade in Iraq."

Critics of the work carried  out elsewhere by NDI and IRI are concerned tha=
t
the groups' low profiles  in Iraq are not driven just by security or
institutional modesty.  Professor and author William I. Robinson of the Glo=
bal and
International  Studies Program at the University of California, Santa Barba=
ra
calls  groups like NDI and IRI "extensions" of the US State Department.

Robinson agrees with Campbell that groups like NDI are in danger  in Iraq t=
o
the extent they are identified with the United States  government. But
according to Robinson, who has researched and written  extensively on US fo=
reign
political and economic policies, the perception  of an alignment between th=
e US
government and private organizations it  funds is well deserved.

"I suspect that [NDI and IRI] are =E2=80=A6 trying  to select individual le=
aders and
organizations that are going to be very  amenable to the US transnational
project for Iraq," Robinson said. He  described those actors as willing to =
engage
in "pacifying the country  militarily and legitimating the occupation and t=
he
formal electoral  system." Robinson added that developing relationships wit=
h
"economic,  political and civic groups that are going to be favorable to Ir=
aq's
 integration into the global capitalist economy" would prove even more
important for US-based organizations in the long run.

This would  include, Robinson said, altering Iraq's political and economic
infrastructure to be more open to international trade and investment, as  w=
ell
as more favorable to global financial lending institutions such as  the
International Monetary Fund and the World Bank. Robinson sees the  Middle E=
ast as
one of the few viable areas of the world yet to be drawn  into the US's sph=
ere
of economic influence, and concludes that, more than  a way to exploit oil,=
 the
US-led invasion and occupation serve as  potential doorways into broader,
more advantageous economic engagement in  the region.

NDI and IRI are two out of four core organizations of  the National Endowme=
nt
for Democracy (NED), a self-described "nonprofit,  non-governmental,
bipartisan, grant-making organization" the stated  purpose of which is "to =
help
strengthen democratic institutions around the  world." Created during Ronal=
d
Reagan's first term as president to enhance  overseas political influence w=
eakened by
Jimmy Carter's 1977 ban on CIA  democracy front groups, NED's reputation as=
 a
promoter of democracy never  truly thrived outside the United States.

The organization and its  affiliates regularly encounter allegations that
they have supported  opposition candidates and promoted subversive movement=
s in
countries where  governments -- some democratically elected -- are seen as
threatening to  US interests.

According to Campbell of NDI, both his group and its  Republican counterpar=
t
originally became involved with political party  formation and civil societ=
y
efforts in Iraq shortly after the Spring 2003  invasion, using NED funds wh=
ile
getting their feet wet. By the next  winter, administrators at the US-run
Coalition Provisional Authority,  along with others at the State Department=
 and
the National Security  Council, began showing interest, Campbell explained.
Then, in early 2004,  the US government allocated $25 million to the NED to=
 spread
among its  affiliate groups. Finally, in preparation for the 2005 vote, USA=
ID
gave  more than $80 million to NDI, IRI and others involved in the consorti=
um
 set up to provide technical and political assistance to the electoral
process.

In Robinson's view, ulterior motives of US groups aside,  the idea that
Western advisors can help democratize a society like Iraq  also appears
shortsighted. In reference to NDI's stated practice of  providing advice to=
 politically
vulnerable groups, Robinson said: "It's  not at all clear that Iraqi women =
need
the advice of people from the US  telling them how to organize -- or that
students do, or so forth. And it's  not clear what value that advice could
possibly have, other than trying to  create a political bloc inside the cou=
ntry
which will conform to the  larger US vision for Iraq."

Robinson also says that US-based  organizations, serving as private proxies
for the government, will back  numerous political parties in Iraq, just as =
IRI
and NDI say they do; but  Robinson says there will be stricter limits on th=
at
assistance than such  organizations would lead the public to believe. "It
wouldn't be that the  US would put its eggs behind one party, but [rather] =
a
number of parties  within a political spectrum -- representing different
constituencies, but  all within boundaries.

"What remains outside of those boundaries,"  Robinson continued, "is an
alternative vision for Iraq -- a completely  different vision which might w=
ell be
the vision a majority of Iraqis would  have."

Right wing critics have also questioned the record of  National Endowment f=
or
Democracy and its affiliate organizations. In an  analysis written for the
conservative libertarian CATO Institute, Barbara  Conry wrote that the NED'=
s
"mischief overseas" has amounted to US  taxpayers funding "special-interest
groups to harass the duly elected  governments of friendly countries, inter=
fere in
foreign elections, and  foster the corruption of democratic movements."

Last year,  Representative Ron Paul (R-Texas) took aim at the Endowment --
particularly the roles of NDI and IRI -- writing that the purposes for  whi=
ch
both organizations are utilized elsewhere in the world "would be  rightly
illegal in the United States.

The apparently impromptu  public protest in the Ukraine following the
now-rescinded win by Russia's  favored candidate, Victor Yanukovich, is bel=
ieved to
have been at least  partly orchestrated by the National Endowment for
Democracy. According to  reports in The Guardian, both NDI and IRI were inv=
olved in
developing  extremely active popular campaigns in support of Victor Yushche=
nko,
the  opposition candidate favored in the West whose defeat was immediately
followed by condemnations of vote fraud in the US, by both the State  Depar=
tment
and the mass media.

Further, the Associated Press  reported on December 10 that the Bush
Administration spent $65 million  over the past two years to support opposi=
tion
candidates in Ukraine.

Other recent examples of NED-affiliated groups meddling in the  affairs of
sovereign nations include political upheavals in both Venezuela  and Haiti.

An article in the current edition of Mother Jones  specifically ties IRI to
the 2002 armed coup that briefly removed populist  President Hugo Chavez fr=
om
power in Venezuela. According to Mother Jones,  IRI was also involved in
sponsoring parties that led to last January's  violent uprising against
democratically elected Haitian President  Jean-Bertrand Aristide, which its=
elf culminated
in Aristide's exile and  the dissolution of his government on February 29.
Haiti is currently ruled  by the county's chief Supreme Court Justice, who
replaced Aristide. Haiti  currently has no functioning parliament and new e=
lections
have yet to be  held.

One of the mechanisms US-backed groups typically use to  challenge
unfavorable election results is exit polls and other tracking  methods, whi=
ch almost
invariably show Washington's preferred candidates to  have edged out their
opponents. It is unclear whether IRI will engage in  any exit polling or ot=
her
verification methods on January 30, but Campbell  said NDI will not, citing
"security and logistical" concerns that would  render such activity impossi=
ble.

There remains more to learn and  report about the activities of these and
other US-based non-governmental  organizations in Iraq and the relations be=
tween
the US State Department  and various Iraqi political actors. The NewStandar=
d
has filed a Freedom of  Information Act request for documents pertaining to=
 the
involvement of  US-based organizations in Iraq's upcoming elections.

Regardless of  how the January 30, 2005 elections turn out, US-backed
nongovernmental  organizations are likely to be involved in Iraq well into =
the
future.  "We're digging in for the long haul," said Campbell. "I would full=
y
anticipate NDI being in Iraq five years from now or ten years from now."

=C2=A9 2004 The NewStandard.






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